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View Poll Results: Which is more likely on Christmas Day? 90 F in San Jose, CA or 70 F in Fargo, ND
90 F in San Jose, CA 5 41.67%
70 F in Fargo, ND 7 58.33%
Voters: 12. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 12-10-2013, 08:47 PM
 
Location: HERE
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Which outlying record-setting weather event is more likely?
I think both are possible in our current climate but very unlikely.

San Jose, CA hitting 90 F on Christmas Day?

San Jose, California - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

or

Fargo, ND hitting 70 F on Christmas Day?

Fargo, North Dakota - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
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Old 12-10-2013, 08:54 PM
 
Location: Broward County, FL
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Fargo's record high on Christmas day is 47 F, San Jose is 70 F. I'm not sure since Fargo is more prone to extreme departures from normal, San Jose's record high is only 10 F above their average high, while Fargo's is 27 F above. I'd say 70 F in Fargo, but it would have to be a pretty extreme scenario. Probably about as extreme as -55 F on Christmas.
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Old 12-10-2013, 11:07 PM
 
Location: HERE
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Quote:
Originally Posted by alex985 View Post
Fargo's record high on Christmas day is 47 F, San Jose is 70 F. I'm not sure since Fargo is more prone to extreme departures from normal, San Jose's record high is only 10 F above their average high, while Fargo's is 27 F above. I'd say 70 F in Fargo, but it would have to be a pretty extreme scenario. Probably about as extreme as -55 F on Christmas.
Yep - Fargo has way more standard deviation which is why I put both events as pretty equally possible despite the Fargo scenario being much more of a departure from average.
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Old 12-11-2013, 03:38 AM
 
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70 F in Fargo since it gets way more standard deviation than San Jose.
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Old 12-14-2013, 06:22 AM
 
Location: Glasgow, UK
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Fargo
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