U.S. CitiesCity-Data Forum Index
Go Back   City-Data Forum > General Forums > Weather
 [Register]
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
View detailed profile (Advanced) or search
site with Google Custom Search

Search Forums  (Advanced)
View Poll Results: Which is more likely?
Zero rainfall in LA for an entire winter 19 44.19%
Zero snow for NYC for an entire winter 14 32.56%
Both are IMPOSSIBLE 10 23.26%
Voters: 43. You may not vote on this poll

Reply Start New Thread
 
Old 01-15-2014, 08:36 PM
 
Location: HERE
2,055 posts, read 2,849,734 times
Reputation: 597

Advertisements

Which of these two scenarios is most likely?

A) Los Angeles, California getting ZERO rain, not even a trace, for an entire winter season (November through April- the season where they get 90 percent of their rain anyway so it means almost zero rain for an entire year).

or

B) New York City, New York getting ZERO snowfall for an entire winter season (not even a trace of accumulation; flurries are acceptable if they don't stick) for the an entire winter season.

or

C) Both are impossible
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message

 
Old 01-15-2014, 08:38 PM
 
Location: Los Angeles
2,412 posts, read 1,880,235 times
Reputation: 497
seems to me that at the pace we are going we will see no rain, but I think it would be to extreme if that occurs, so...

both imposible

IMO
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 01-15-2014, 08:38 PM
 
Location: IN
20,847 posts, read 35,942,861 times
Reputation: 13287
Not impossible but quite rare.

On another note, there is a possibility of an El Nino developing later this year that could impact the NEXT rainy season for the West Coast. Stay tuned...
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 01-15-2014, 09:35 PM
 
Location: Northville, MI
11,882 posts, read 11,161,521 times
Reputation: 6320
NYC with zero snow is more likely in my opinion.

Last edited by nei; 01-15-2014 at 10:35 PM.. Reason: response to deleted post
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 01-15-2014, 09:43 PM
 
Location: Lincoln, NE
1,212 posts, read 1,158,262 times
Reputation: 541
72-73 had 2.7" and only a Trace not too far away in Philadelphia. I think there is a chance one winter in the next 100 years NYC will only have a Trace, but don't see how it can have zero. The no rain in LA would also be a very rare event if not impossible, but I think that has a better chance of happening.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 01-15-2014, 09:44 PM
 
Location: Long Island/NYC
11,334 posts, read 17,093,168 times
Reputation: 6075
Interesting question, both are very possible, but I really don't know which scenario is more likely.

LA's (Downtown) driest winter (1963-64) had 1.43" of rain.

NYC's (JFK) least snowiest winter (1972-73) had 1.60" of snow.

Being that snow isn't nearly as "wet" as rain, I'm leaning towards NYC, that 1.60" of snow had a much greater chance of being nothing compared to 1.43" of rain.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 01-15-2014, 10:29 PM
 
Location: Anne Arundel County, MD
1,006 posts, read 878,597 times
Reputation: 246
Quote:
Originally Posted by cloudcrash619 View Post
72-73 had 2.7" and only a Trace not too far away in Philadelphia. I think there is a chance one winter in the next 100 years NYC will only have a Trace, but don't see how it can have zero. The no rain in LA would also be a very rare event if not impossible, but I think that has a better chance of happening.
There are only 9 seasons in the Central Park record with snowfall < 10": NYC Central Park Monthly Snowfall

I remember there being a post by the Capital Weather Gang analysing snow at DCA, PHL, LGA, and BOS and their conclusion being that in recent years, small-accumulation events are decreasing in frequency but 10" (?) storms are becoming somewhat more common at New York and Boston.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 01-15-2014, 10:37 PM
 
Location: Sydney, Australia
10,183 posts, read 7,782,020 times
Reputation: 5091
Most deserts rarely get zero rainfall in a year. So Los Angeles is just hopeless in this case.

I put my money on NYC getting zero snowfall. It's near the ocean, thus making snow much less possible.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 01-16-2014, 04:46 AM
 
3,519 posts, read 3,549,532 times
Reputation: 874
Zero snow for NYC.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 01-16-2014, 07:33 PM
 
Location: HERE
2,055 posts, read 2,849,734 times
Reputation: 597
Quote:
Originally Posted by Infamous92 View Post
Interesting question, both are very possible, but I really don't know which scenario is more likely.

LA's (Downtown) driest winter (1963-64) had 1.43" of rain.

NYC's (JFK) least snowiest winter (1972-73) had 1.60" of snow.

Being that snow isn't nearly as "wet" as rain, I'm leaning towards NYC, that 1.60" of snow had a much greater chance of being nothing compared to 1.43" of rain.

L.A has HAD rainless Januaries, Februaries, and Marches (although they were not consecutive) and if things continue the way they have been, we could have a January through March of 2014 with zero rainfall (L.A. had some light rainfall (but still well below average) in November and December so having a totally rainless winter is out of the question.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.

Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.


Reply
Please update this thread with any new information or opinions. This open thread is still read by thousands of people, so we encourage all additional points of view.

Quick Reply
Message:

Over $104,000 in prizes was already given out to active posters on our forum and additional giveaways are planned!

Go Back   City-Data Forum > General Forums > Weather
Follow City-Data.com founder on our Forum or

All times are GMT -6.

2005-2019, Advameg, Inc. · Please obey Forum Rules · Terms of Use and Privacy Policy · Bug Bounty

City-Data.com - Archive 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35 - Top