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Indianapolis set a new record low temperature today of 6 and 7 below zero Fahrenheit(The more northern observation station was minus 7, the airport minus 6 degrees), the old record low was minus 2 set back in the year 1900.
Pattern has stayed active but with the Jet stream pushed south more the activity has been in the south and Mid Atlantic. Next week it lifts north and so the Northeast gets involved again .
Here's what the GFS says for snow total in the U.S through March 7th. Impressive coverage for this time of year
What are the chances of a cold spring for most of the country? I'm keeping my fingers crossed that this cold pattern will hold at least through March - and that snowpack building southward should help in that regard.
They're calling for a big warm-up here next week - I hope that's just a temporary bounce and not a turnaround to above-average temps. Winter is too short as it is.
They're calling for a big warm-up here next week - I hope that's just a temporary bounce and not a turnaround to above-average temps. Winter is too short as it is.
I see.. Looks like Models agreeing the Western Ridge shifts into Pacific and that means the Trough axis shifts west as well over the Plains and not TN / Ohio Valley / Northeast.
Using the CMC I added some notes.
Depending on the strength of that SE ridge (which I don't see strong yet, way too soon) the Northeast will stay seasonably chilly with this setup. Not well below but slightly below normal.
Southeast going to get very warm with widespread 70s & 80s with this setup
What are the chances of a cold spring for most of the country? I'm keeping my fingers crossed that this cold pattern will hold at least through March - and that snowpack building southward should help in that regard.
They're calling for a big warm-up here next week - I hope that's just a temporary bounce and not a turnaround to above-average temps. Winter is too short as it is.
There's just so much cold air in the arctic, so it can well continue, at least for the Midwest and New England. I don't think it will stretch far enough to Atlanta, but neither would I expect above average temps.
Europe seems to also get a chilly start of the spring with below average temps.
Could well carry on until mid March at least quite realistically.
There it is... Get ready northern Gulf Folks. Current temps and Radar. Its a mess around the Dallas Area with snow, sleet, ice, rain.
Storm in the Gulf
Future Radar Loop. Watch the clipper come down too. Atlantic City gets clipped, NYC north gets nothing. Supressed Jet Stream.
Dallas, Texas sent up the usual morning weather balloon at 12z ... it never went up due to the ice.. So they tried a 2nd time... Look what was revealed.
"While the 1st was downed due to ice, the 2nd weather balloon tells the story of why so much rain fell vs. snow"
There's just so much cold air in the arctic, so it can well continue, at least for the Midwest and New England. I don't think it will stretch far enough to Atlanta, but neither would I expect above average temps.
Europe seems to also get a chilly start of the spring with below average temps.
Could well carry on until mid March at least quite realistically.
True, though patterns breakdown with the change in seasons eventually. Jet stream is weaker. I'd guess by the end of March the pattern will become less stuck as solar heating and different temperature contrasts start to move things around. While it does stick around, even if it stays well below average, it won't reach the very low temperatures we've gotten. The same subarctic won't be as cold, and lower latitudes are starting to see some heating. Past the first week of March, our averages climb up fast. Still, for the next few week I'd expect cold weather, probably still well below but not record breaking cold. Our average high is 4.5°C right now, yesterday didn't go above -10°C.
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