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I see.. Looks like Models agreeing the Western Ridge shifts into Pacific and that means the Trough axis shifts west as well over the Plains and not TN / Ohio Valley / Northeast.
Using the CMC I added some notes.
Depending on the strength of that SE ridge (which I don't see strong yet, way too soon) the Northeast will stay seasonably chilly with this setup. Not well below but slightly below normal.
Southeast going to get very warm with widespread 70s & 80s with this setup
I see.. Looks like Models agreeing the Western Ridge shifts into Pacific and that means the Trough axis shifts west as well over the Plains and not TN / Ohio Valley / Northeast.
Using the CMC I added some notes.
Depending on the strength of that SE ridge (which I don't see strong yet, way too soon) the Northeast will stay seasonably chilly with this setup. Not well below but slightly below normal.
Southeast going to get very warm with widespread 70s & 80s with this setup
Looks like today and tomorrow will be winter's last hurrah down here. Our average high is already pushing sixty, and with that ever-increasing sun angle down here at 34 degrees latitude, it won't take much to get warm with any sort of ridge south of us.
But what a February it's been!
P.S. 31 degrees right now with a solid overcast. Here's to hoping that temps don't rise too much before the precip arrives. Looks like it's about 4-5 hours away from Atlanta.
If that ridge does stronger, perhaps there's a possibility of a sudden big jump in temperatures?
Definitely.
Notice we're still in the 540s and 550s Dam on the 500mb heights. That's still chilly. We been in the 520s and dipped to 500s lately!
580+ is big Heat. 570s is warm.
Consensus right now says temps in 30s/40s is maxing it next week north of Philly..
Quote:
Originally Posted by NorthStarDelight
Looks like today and tomorrow will be winter's last hurrah down here. Our average high is already pushing sixty,
That's crazy to hear. Normal max in the 60s and winter storm warnings out.
Will NAM be right? 24hr snowfall total. 12"+ North Carolina & Virginia
Looks like today and tomorrow will be winter's last hurrah down here. Our average high is already pushing sixty, and with that ever-increasing sun angle down here at 34 degrees latitude, it won't take much to get warm with any sort of ridge south of us.
But what a February it's been!
P.S. 31 degrees right now with a solid overcast. Here's to hoping that temps don't rise too much before the precip arrives. Looks like it's about 4-5 hours away from Atlanta.
Thanks! That's awesome.
Winter Storm Warnings today during the day in areas where the normal max temps are in the 60s . Warnings extend from Texas to Virginia where the snow storm will hit this evening and overnight.
Notice we're still in the 540s and 550s Dam on the 500mb heights. That's still chilly. We been in the 520s and dipped to 500s lately!
580+ is big Heat. 570s is warm.
Consensus right now says temps in 30s/40s is maxing it next week north of Philly..
That's crazy to hear. Normal max in the 60s and winter storm warnings out.
Will NAM be right? 24hr snowfall total. 12"+ North Carolina & Virginia
That map would be a HUGE downer for me - one lousy inch for my backyard. Should I go ahead and write this one off as the "one that got away?"
There's a reason why our annual snowfall average is only 2 inches...
How old is your station? This seems to be happening every month.
Haha, yeah it does happen often. It's only 13 years old. A lot of the time these things are forecast incorrectly and the low doesn't even come close to what they say.
We were only 2F higher than the February record low last week, but again, not very impressive considering the short period of record.
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