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I do disagree with this brutal cold wording. In my area Grand Forks ND I am forecasting highs next week mostly 25-28 and lows 10-15, normal high/low temps next week are in the upper 30s/mid teens.... so nothing hugely below normal.
No snow cover as well as the Monday snow will pass to our south from Montana into SD/southern half of MN/Wisconsin. Our Record lows this time of year are near -10F
The lack of snow here is nuts and we have cold temps as well. We shall see what happens.
Sometimes it actually is "too dry to snow". Usually snows/rains are along a frontal boundary so there's less chance of snow if you're well north of there even with fresh cold air in place. Unless there's an ULL over you or a system moves in from somewhere. So as this boundary sinks south you should be seeing some snows initially .
Quote:
Originally Posted by Kamsack
I do disagree with this brutal cold wording. In my area Grand Forks ND I am forecasting highs next week mostly 25-28 and lows 10-15, normal high/low temps next week are in the upper 30s/mid teens.... so nothing hugely below normal.
No snow cover as well as the Monday snow will pass to our south from Montana into SD/southern half of MN/Wisconsin. Our Record lows this time of year are near -10F
Yeah, definitely not extreme especially for a location that has 110+ yrs of data but definitely well below normal for many. I see normal min is upper teens for you next week. GFS has single digit lows Saturday through Wednesday for you.
How often does it drop below 12°F before mid November.
Yeah, definitely not extreme especially for a location that has 110+ yrs of data but definitely well below normal for many. I see normal min is upper teens for you next week. GFS has single digit lows Saturday through Wednesday for you.
How often does it drop below 12°F before mid November.
I checked using xmACIS and for the Grand Forks/UND in town climate site with data back to late 1880s the average first day with a min 12F or lower is Nov 9th... We had 13 for a low on Oct 31st....
So right on schedule. And using MOS values and superblend (all models) that NWS uses in its long range (at least central region) we keep lows 10-15 through next Saturday. So a big yawn from us
From NWS Twin Cities. Earliest Minneapolis got 6" of snow was November 8, 1943.
So not too common to see that much.
You are forgetting the great Halloween snow storm that hit the cities on Oct 31, 1991. Minneapolis recorded 8.3 inches on 10/31/91.... that stands as the highest in October ever.
I checked using xmACIS and for the Grand Forks/UND in town climate site with data back to late 1880s the average first day with a min 12F or lower is Nov 9th... We had 13 for a low on Oct 31st....
So right on schedule. And using MOS values and superblend (all models) that NWS uses in its long range (at least central region) we keep lows 10-15 through next Saturday. So a big yawn from us
lol. Spoken like a true cold lover. Plus still 5+ days out so it might be less impact than we see. However in my experience with the PV dropping low I think we will see widespread departures of 15-25 below normal which like you said, not extreme, but always interesting to see. And it shouldn't be for a day or two either.
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Plus still 5+ days out so it might be less impact than we see. However in my experience with the PV dropping low I think we will see widespread departures of 15-25 below normal which like you said, not extreme, but always interesting to see. And it shouldn't be for a day or two either.
