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Distinctive SouthEast Ridge and a bottled up cold air/consolidated Polar Vortex.... But what happens next week?
Still 7 days out but here's the GFS projection. Could be because of that Stratospheric warming having an affect on the entire system. Vortex splits and 1 heads into Quebec.
Result would be a return of well below normal temps in the Northeast with near 0, single digits and teens in New England. Max in the teens/20s/30s north of Philly. Below normal from Tennessee to Maine.
^^ I've noticed that these polar shots have tended to favor the Northeast more than the Midwest this winter. The just seem to have a tilt towards the Northeast more than knifing into the Central US.
At any rate, snowcover will be all but history by tomorrow for Illinois, Indiana, and southern Wisconsin
These last few pages are rather depressing. Is there a chance that cold spell may be no more than a week? I didn't care as much about cold weather a few weeks ago, but now that we're getting into mid-March, mild weather may mean green grass and spring flower and actually nice temperatures instead just not-so cold. I miss greenery.
These last few pages are rather depressing. Is there a chance that cold spell may be no more than a week? I didn't care as much about cold weather a few weeks ago, but now that we're getting into mid-March, mild weather may mean green grass and spring flower and actually nice temperatures instead just not-so cold. I miss greenery.
My gut says it's quick shot but we learned my gut must be upside down at times. LOL
Still long range, we never know if it's a quick shot or long lasting. I remember last year I was burning wood for heat in April and May and veggies couldn't get put out because of a cold Spring.
Here's latest GFS data for Northern CT. Reminder these aren't the max/min temps but the temps at that specific hour
So it says by next Thursday 8pm it will be -4.7°C(23F) at BDL. Looks to stay below normal after this week but the coldest air looks to be 1-2 days according to GFS..
850mb temps back into the negative teens.
Couple of storms next 2 weeks
NWS Boston
Today regarding the models being off on temps:
AS FOR MODEL GUIDANCE...MOS TEMPS HAVE BEEN DISPLAYING A COOL BIAS RECENTLY AND PROBABLY DUE TO INCREASING MARCH SUN ANGLE AND MOS STILL USING COOL SEASON EQUATIONS. AS A RESULT BIAS CORRECTED MOS IS WARMER AND MORE REASONABLE GIVEN THE PATTERN. THEREFORE HIGHS TODAY WERE BASED ON BIAS CORRECTED MOS AND THEN ADDING 2 TO 3 DEGS
THU NIGHT INTO FRI...
WILL FEEL COOLER TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK THAN IT DID TO BEGIN THE WEEK AS 850MB TEMPS FALL BACK TO AROUND -4C TO -10C. THIS WILL ALLOW BOTH HIGHS AND LOWS TO SLIP BACK TO NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL FOR EARLY MARCH. DRY WX PREVAILS UNDER HIGH PRES.
It is pre-spring season in NYC and it it sounds gross.
Before showers — certainly before flowers — there comes that ill-defined time that the fashion houses have seen fit to call “pre-spring,” but that New Yorkers know as the week or two when black snow wanes into black puddles, and the sins buried beneath February’s snowstorms reveal themselves in March’s squalid muck.
Here, beneath the snow, slumbered the vices and indulgences of a city beaten down by harrowing waves of ice, sleet, slush and arctic winds: Airheads candy wrappers, Rice Krispies Treats wrappers, Whoppers wrappers, M&M’s wrappers, chocolate pudding cups, scratch-off lottery tickets, Smirnoff bottles, Fireball whisky bottles, rum bottles and enough sugary drink containers — Arizona Iced Teas, flattened Coke cans, CapriSuns, Snapples of every flavor
Dewpoint rose to 45°F at 10 am! I wonder how high the temperature will rise? I'm thinking upper 50s are possible as long a skies stay clear; sun is strong enough this time of year.
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