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If the freezing line at 4000 feet cant even stay off the coast with a track like that, in January.. ... its just another chapter in the story of this winter. Ridiculous.
Who cares if I get 4" if its not all snow and going to change at some point.
Quickly looking at the GFS12z data for Danbury. 850s get up to +1.6°C by 1pm Saturday during the bulk of precip. LOL!
Progressive shouldn't be "the only" reason you should be seeing mentioned. All winter we seen how EASY it is for the mid levels to warm up when precip moves in, especially from the south. This is looking no different now.
Track is fine. Surface temps are fine. Speed is fine. Just gets too warm aloft easy.
Even with 0.25-0.75" at all snow with cold temps and progressive nature it would lead to a nice snowstorm with 10-15:1 ratios.
If the freezing line at 850mb can't stay off the coast with a benchmark storm...in January..that's just another chapter in the story of this winter.
But I would be a fool for not saying again.... Some areas might get their biggest snows of the season. (1-4"+) Whether it sticks around all day or isn't all snow is another story.
Euro is Colder!!!!!!!! 850mb stays below freezing whole time in CT!
Sad
Happy
Sad
Happy
Awesome! LOL
Here's the Euro data for Philly. Surface temps fine for snow. Notice 850mb goes above freezing during the bulk of precip. This is a snow to rain event for Philly.
but notice Monday.... Another snow event. Temps aloft much colder
0.68" qpf for Phily Euro says. If was all snow that would be a 5-7" snowstorm.
We're always hoping for that "perfect" track... here we are... and now it's about the temps aloft that need to cooperate. It's friggin January. We should be worrying about that in December or March.
WPC says X marks the Spot. 40N/70W "Benchmark" placement.
WE in Virginia will do what the Chinese do when it snows. Let it snow.. Who cares anyway? the salt and snowplow drivers I guess.
See, they already changed ours from 12 inches (that's about 3 according to my wife) to this.
[url]http://www.weather.com/weather/tenday/l/20132:4:US[/url]
WE in Virginia will do what the Chinese do when it snows. Let it snow.. Who cares anyway? the salt and snowplow drivers I guess.
See, they already changed ours from 12 inches (that's about 3 according to my wife) to this.
It's been changing everywhere because models cant even agree 2 days out on this one. NUTS!
Here's Virginia's forecasts per NWS. 3 offices cover the state
Latest Snowfall total forecast centered on Southern New England
And for Northern MidAtlantic. None for Atlantic City. Maybe next one on Monday!
And our south florida cold fron keeps getting weaker lows only in the high 40s now
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Give me my 6-12" and I'll be happy.
lows only in the high 40s now 
