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Here's drought monitor's image for the Northeast. Dry most places, though nothing extreme. Drought index is calculated on Tuesday, posted on Thursday. Will repost the Thursday after next.
Yellow is abnormally dry; the light brown is moderate drought.
Remember what I always said? Everyone always says "Where is the rain, we need it!" After and before they say "enough with the rains, too much!". Time and time again in my years of following. Thats why I never worry about droughts in our area
With that said... anyone got a calculator? Im on the phone and lazy.. GFS new update (4 times a day it runs)...
Notice the pressure and the amount of rains Wednesday to Sunday. Each row is a 6hr precip amount.
Anyone want to total it up? Been a while since I seen this!
Remember what I always said? Everyone always says "Where is the rain, we need it!" After and before they say "enough with the rains, too much!". Time and time again in my years of following. Thats why I never worry about droughts in our area
With that said... anyone got a calculator? Im on the phone and lazy.. GFS new update (4 times a day it runs)...
Notice the pressure and the amount of rains Wednesday to Sunday. Each row is a 6hr precip amount.
Anyone want to total it up? Been a while since I seen this!
The forecast looks disgusting, I don't think I've ever seen so many back to back days of rain and clouds in a forecast here. I doubt it will completely verify, but still, wtf.
Precip amounts will be limited a bit by weak forcing while the deepest moisture is available, so average QPF over the next couple days is generally around a half inch, with south-central Kentucky pushing three quarters of an inch. Local amounts of an inch or more are not out of the question, but given recent dry conditions most streams can take plenty of water.
Thanks. Nuts. So more than 2 months worth in 5 days time. IF the tropical system doesn't affect us, that number would be reduced to half or more. And even IF the tropical system does affect us, this number might not be what will happen. Gets its model watching time.
From weather underground's Jeff Master's / Bob Henson's blog:
The depression is over very warm sea-surface temperatures of around 30°C (86°F), about 1°C above average. As TD 11 moves slowly northwest over the next 2-3 days, it will remain over quite warm SSTs, but wind shear will remain on the strong side, denting TD 11’s potential for growth. Dynamical models are in general agreement in bringing TD 11 to tropical storm strength over the next several days. The high-resolution HWRF model is particularly bullish, with its 00Z and 06Z runs bringing TD 11 to hurricane status by later this week... The best global models are typically more reliable than the high-resolution mesoscale models beyond about 2-3 days, but the newly upgraded HWRF has demonstrated impressive skill on several storms this year.
I don't know about that. I think El Nino has the Blob's number this winter....
Last seven day change.... Cooling Pacific and warming North Atlantic. May change winter forecast if this keeps up
Big time heavy rain for the Northeast
By the looks of the long range models.... Possibly last 80 degree temp of the year today....
I have forgotten what rain is like. Frankly, I am looking forward to it. I'd like us to get a decent amount. I hope we don't have another dry summer like this in years. I've grown to really dislike El Nino. Every season it mucks things up. This summer was bone dry and thunderstorm free. My plants look like hell after last winter and then this bone dry summer.
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