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Old 09-13-2015, 08:04 AM
 
Location: Northern Ireland and temporarily England
7,668 posts, read 5,259,670 times
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It will balance out. That happens sometimes where they get a colder night in southern England like last week but by the time we get to winter it is colder here.

Single figure mins are no big deal.
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Old 09-13-2015, 08:12 AM
 
Location: New Jersey
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Nice morning here. Partly to mostly cloudy and 65 F/18 C at 10:12AM. Today and tomorrow okay with highs in the low 70s F/low 20s C, but the rest of the week looks terrible with highs in the 80s. Enough already!
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Old 09-13-2015, 08:29 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BullochResident View Post
I am actually really impressed by these lows. Looking forward to tonight!
Have fun and good luck with some nice lows. Here's latest NAM min temps tomorrow morning. Notice coastal CT still in the yellows. Blues are 40s. Underneath that High with clear skies NAM showing 30s for the hills!

And of course it starts lifting out and moderating for the Gulf coast states but Kentucky still inside the cold core tomorrow. I'm beginning to like watching Kentucky's weather



Closeup of Southeast





2 reasons for all this...

Upper level pushing the atmosphere down in the East with cold air aloft..

SPC Hourly Mesoscale Analysis



And a 1022mb Canadian High Pressure at the Surface

Intellicast - Mixed Surface Analysis in United States

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Old 09-13-2015, 08:34 AM
 
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https://twitter.com/ryanmaue/status/643069514989633536
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Old 09-13-2015, 08:40 AM
 
Location: Lexington, KY
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^^ Mobile is 65°F
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Old 09-13-2015, 08:49 AM
 
Location: Orcutt, CA (Santa Maria Valley)
3,314 posts, read 2,215,794 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Yup... I'm trying to ignore that to keep me sane. It's BS man!!! It's been since the 1980s or 1960s we had a September like this.

So I look ahead.... Check this out....

Same time, different models, different result. Sept 23rd

GFS says trough digs "again" like today.. with Ontario snow, Euro says No.

The GFS has been consistent showing something interesting after the 20th. We'll see.



Note: The amount of moisture on these maps is for a 12hr period with GFS and 6hr with Euro. That why Euro is showing less. Also because of the Jet stream diving down with the GFS and the right axis up the coast.
Was it this warm in September 2012?
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Old 09-13-2015, 08:53 AM
 
Location: South Jersey
14,497 posts, read 9,432,221 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ilovemycomputer90 View Post
Nice morning here. Partly to mostly cloudy and 65 F/18 C at 10:12AM. Today and tomorrow okay with highs in the low 70s F/low 20s C, but the rest of the week looks terrible with highs in the 80s. Enough already!
You are very calm about it. I prefer not to think about it, since if I do, my feelings tend more towards anger about this kind of forecast.
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Old 09-13-2015, 08:55 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Thunder98 View Post
Was it this warm in September 2012?
Nope. Wasn't. September 2012 was one of the cooler Septembers in past decade for here.

Departures for the Max Highs and Lows forecasts today. New England sucks! LOL

Departure From Normal Lows - AerisWeather



And the current temp. Actual departures. Nuts.

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Old 09-13-2015, 09:24 AM
 
Location: 30461
2,508 posts, read 1,847,742 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Have fun and good luck with some nice lows. Here's latest NAM min temps tomorrow morning. Notice coastal CT still in the yellows. Blues are 40s. Underneath that High with clear skies NAM showing 30s for the hills!

And of course it starts lifting out and moderating for the Gulf coast states but Kentucky still inside the cold core tomorrow. I'm beginning to like watching Kentucky's weather
NAM seems to be trending warmer than other models. They have Statesboro at 59 F and Savannah at 64 F (both slightly warmer than this morning).

Meanwhile, wunderground has Statesboro at 55 F tonight and Savannah at 59 F.
NWS has Statesboro at 54 F and Savannah at 59 F.

I think the main factor for the intermediate coastal areas will be when the wind starts shifting to the NE. The ocean water is still very warm, so a shift to a more easterly wind (even a light wind) would impact them greatly. The later the shift occurs, the lower they will get tonight.
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Old 09-13-2015, 10:13 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,516 posts, read 75,294,816 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BullochResident View Post
NAM seems to be trending warmer than other models. They have Statesboro at 59 F and Savannah at 64 F (both slightly warmer than this morning).
It does tend to have a warmer bias then other models.

Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
And here's lunchtime temps. Just not fair the south can have 15 degree departures and I cant in the Summer and Early Fall.

Clear Skies and 67° in Birmingham.
Even the clear skies and 70s down there. WTF. lol

Cool clouds over Kentucky.
No rain showing up anywhere

And these are airport and such readings. I bet the burbs or outside the stations are maybe 1-2 degrees cooler than whats shown.

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