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"Look at the moisture plume coming here off the, this makes me nervous about the Northeast because, you can still get an above normal month for month of December...lack of Arctic airs.. but doesn't mean you can't get any snow... I'm a little nervous, everyone is saying we're waiting to February for everything to happen...I'm a little nervous that some point in December maybe late December we start getting nailed with some snow events in the East"
On that note..
Richmond got 4.5" November 11, 1987. That month was above normal with temps. So if the moisture is available and the timing is right, we can still get snow even though consensus is showing above normal!
I just don't like how there is absolutely no arctic air being shown.
I believe last year we were seeing it being projected by now. Maybe not
"Look at the moisture plume coming here off the, this makes me nervous about the Northeast because, you can still get an above normal month for month of December...lack of Arctic airs.. but doesn't mean you can't get any snow... I'm a little nervous, everyone is saying we're waiting to February for everything to happen...I'm a little nervous that some point in December maybe late December we start getting nailed with some snow events in the East"
On that note..
Richmond got 4.5" November 11, 1987. That month was above normal with temps. So if the moisture is available and the timing is right, we can still get snow even though consensus is showing above normal!
I just don't like how there is absolutely no arctic air being shown.
I believe last year we were seeing it being projected by now. Maybe not
ONCE AGAIN, it depends on how much snow cover that builds upstream relative to the split flow zonal pattern and how cold the air will get in Canada. This will impact the position of the jet stream and can not be predicted months out in advance even with an El Nino card in play.
In 2013 and 2014 the end of the summer was very cold, while this year it was very hot. Hopefully that means the winter is gonna be different too
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