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Old 09-29-2015, 09:27 AM
 
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https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/s...60888611598336
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Old 09-29-2015, 09:28 AM
nei nei won $500 in our forum's Most Engaging Poster Contest - Thirteenth Edition (Jan-Feb 2015). 

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Location: Western Massachusetts
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Sandy actually wasn't that intense rainfall-wise for southern New England & downstate NY. Its impact was wind and storm surge. Irene was heavy wind. Irene dumped on top of already very wet conditions. Not this case this time so flooding damage shouldn't be extreme.
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Old 09-29-2015, 09:40 AM
 
Location: NJ
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yea I'm hoping not too bad,, I know we need the rain but my basement has been dry for a long time now... preparing just in case...
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Old 09-29-2015, 10:29 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Quote:
Originally Posted by nei View Post
Sandy actually wasn't that intense rainfall-wise for southern New England & downstate NY. Its impact was wind and storm surge. Irene was heavy wind. Irene dumped on top of already very wet conditions. Not this case this time so flooding damage shouldn't be extreme.
Plus the fact that rivers and brooks are running low so that should help keep flooding in check somewhat. I think drought and flooding is hyped WAY tooo much out there. It's going to be local and coastal if anything. Not widespread IMO

Irene had a lot of rain and on top of saturated soils already like you said.

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Old 09-29-2015, 10:31 AM
nei nei won $500 in our forum's Most Engaging Poster Contest - Thirteenth Edition (Jan-Feb 2015). 

Over $104,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum and additional contests are planned
 
Location: Western Massachusetts
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True, though Irene wasn't overhyped. Interesting that Vermont had the worst damage but not the heaviest rainfall; though the Hudson Valley had some nasty flooding. Worst side of a tropical system rain-wise is the west side.
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Old 09-29-2015, 10:34 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Future radar loop next 48hrs. I see snow falling in Ontario and Quebec. Can you imagine this was happening in 3 months? Would of been more exciting. Cold air still in Canada but the 850mb freezing line drops to southern Quebec.

http://hp6.wright-weather.com/wrf_nm...loop_1hour.gif



Another future radar loop is with the HRRR model which only goes out to 16 hours. Click on "Loop" under "composite reflectivity". Make sure it's the most recent run at top right.
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Old 09-29-2015, 10:40 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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New GFS hits Virginia. Interesting. It likes the Euro thinking.

Here's the result. Rain totals through Sunday morning. Back down to Earth for New England? 4-6"

Mid Atlantic gets the most

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Old 09-29-2015, 11:01 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Hurricane hunters are flying into the storm and found a pressure under 1000mb. Strengthening?

https://twitter.com/DanLeonard_wx/st...03926620770306
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Old 09-29-2015, 11:03 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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https://twitter.com/HRD_AOML_NOAA/st...05104460922881
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Old 09-29-2015, 11:30 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,348 posts, read 74,725,695 times
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Yup.... we'll see. Will re-evaluate things this evening. I still dont think it will be big. Nor do any or most meteorologists at this point.

https://twitter.com/WeatherNut27/sta...11950815039489
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