I talked about -3C.... How about -20C with Ocean temp in the 40 and 50s(+5-12C) ?
Heads up Eastern MA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
700 PM EST THU DEC 31 2015
SHOT OF ARCTIC AIR FOLLOWS LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY.
H850 TEMPS
APPROACHING -20C. LOWS IN THE TEENS TO MID 20S SUNDAY NIGHT...MONDAY
NIGHT WILL BE QUITE CHILLY WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME LOWS IN THE
SINGLE DIGITS ACROSS THE FAR INTERIOR.
OF
SIGNIFICANT INTEREST IS THE POTENTIAL FOR OCEAN EFFECT SNOW
SHOWERS SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY NIGHT. MAIN AREA OF CONCERN IS
ACROSS EASTERN PLYMOUTH COUNTY AND THE CAPE AND ISLANDS...BUT COULD
ALSO AFFECT CAPE ANN AND VICINITY IF THE LOW LEVEL WINDS TAKE ON A
MORE NNE FETCH. A LOOK AT BUFKIT SOUNDINGS
USING OCEAN TEMP IN UPPER
40S YIELDS OCEAN INDUCED CAPE UP TO SEVERAL HUNDRED J/KG. DO NOT
WANT TO GET TOO DETAILED WITH LOCATION-SPECIFIC MESOSCALE
SCENARIO AT THIS TIME...BUT
THERE ARE SOME PARAMETERS THAT LOOK
FAVORABLE FOR OCEAN EFFECT SNOW...INCLUDING NORTHERLY
WINDS...LARGE SST DIFFERENTIAL...AND DECENT INVERSION HEIGHTS FOR
LOCAL STANDARDS. IT IS PROBABLE THAT WE WILL SEE A PERIOD OF OCEAN
EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND WITH THE RISK FOR
SOME ACCUMULATION.