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La Nina winters usually have wild swings in temps (at least for the Midwest) and storminess for Northern US.
Look at the position of the jet during a typically strong La Nina winter. This isn't contingent on either a positive or negative AO index.
Those look like typical over hyped TWC maps lol or Accu-W.
I looked at temps for the three strongest La Ninas (73-74, 75-76, and 88-89) and I would take them without hesitation.
Avg three month mean for the Jan to Mar period using 1971-2015 averaged 36.9F.
Jan thru March 74 here averaged 37F. 1976 averaged 38.6F, and 1989 averaged 37.8F. Every single strong La Nina winter was above the mean for that period of record of 1971-2015.
Keep in mind the AMO index for all three of those winters was negative. We are now positive AMO. These winters should be without doubt better than 2014 and 2015. That is all that matters to me.
Those look like typical over hyped TWC maps lol or Accu-W.
I looked at temps for the three strongest La Ninas (73-74, 75-76, and 88-89) and I would take them without hesitation.
Avg three month mean for the Jan to Mar period using 1971-2015 averaged 36.9F.
Jan thru March 74 here averaged 37F. 1976 averaged 38.6F, and 1989 averaged 37.8F. Every single strong La Nina winter was above the mean for that period of record of 1971-2015.
Keep in mind the AMO index for all three of those winters was negative. We are now positive AMO. These winters should be without doubt better than 2014 and 2015. That is all that matters to me.
The amo has been running neutral to negative for past 3 years.
The amo has been running neutral to negative for past 3 years.
No it isn't. Check it out right now it is positive. Since 1998 it has been positive the vast majority of the time. And the last 11 months have been positive. And it never ran negative for the past three years. Where do you get your climate info from I'm just curious?
You seem to be convinced that a cold pdo and La Nina means cold weather for the Southeast. That is just plain wrong. Go to your own states climate page and they will explain to you. Nothing worse for us than a warm PDO putting a giant ridge over Seattle all winter like 2014 and 2015. Cold water off of Seattle means a much better chance of warmer weather for us.
No it isn't. Check it out right now it is positive. Since 1998 it has been positive the vast majority of the time. And the last 11 months have been positive. And it never ran negative for the past three years. Where do you get your climate info from I'm just curious?
You seem to be convinced that a cold pdo and La Nina means cold weather for the Southeast. That is just plain wrong. Go to your own states climate page and they will explain to you. Nothing worse for us than a warm PDO putting a giant ridge over Seattle all winter like 2014 and 2015. Cold water off of Seattle means a much better chance of warmer weather for us.
Im just skeptical that's all, the epo and positive pna can easily over ride the positive ao and nao as they did in 2014 and bring us extreme cold. Also with a positive pdo and cold locked up in the arctic next winter, I fear for a repeat of 1985, that cold will have to break away some point and knowing our luck it will be us.
Im just skeptical that's all, the epo and positive pna can easily over ride the positive ao and nao as they did in 2014 and bring us extreme cold. Also with a positive pdo and cold locked up in the arctic next winter, I fear for a repeat of 1985, that cold will have to break away some point and knowing our luck it will be us.
Well Jan 85 was a weak La Nina with a positive PDO and a solidly negative amo. And I was responding to comments about a strong La Nina, not weak. And hopefully we should be flipping back to negative PDO. I sure hope so.
But you should be skeptical cause you live in a completely unstable borderline subtropical climate with wacky crazy temperature extremes expected in winter. You wouldn't have to worry if you lived in Australia or the Med.
At this point I think summer is going to be dry regardless.
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