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Old 05-10-2016, 04:11 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,358 posts, read 74,779,265 times
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Trough in west.


4000'+ in Montana





The jackpot area....Hayes, Montana. 1 foot+ possible!





Mt Hood, Oregon. Snow drifts anyone?





Todays forecast departure from normal max temps


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Old 05-10-2016, 04:14 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Uh Oh... AO getting out of negative territory? Warmer Pattern change coming for Northeast?


https://twitter.com/DanLeonard_wx/st...70602656059392
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Old 05-10-2016, 04:27 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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6am update.

Everyone pretty much in the 30s in CT except near the coast and few local spots.

Front has been stalled south of us. GOOD!! Keep it there! lol Sorry Mid Atlantic




NWS mentions Mid and High clouds coming back and a shift from northerly flow to Southerly. Mentions the stalled front south of us.


Quote:
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
436 AM EDT TUE MAY 10 2016

LIGHT NORTHERLY FLOW GIVES WAY TO SW/S FLOW THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD
OF APPROACHING SHORTWAVE/SURFACE TROUGH. THE BACKING FLOW ALOFT AHEAD
OF THE SHORTWAVE WILL ALLOW SOUTHERN STREAM JET ENERGY AND
MOISTURE TO NUDGE FARTHER NORTH THIS MORNING INTO AFTERNOON...WITH
A RETURN OF HIGH AND MID DECK OVER THE REGION. EXPECTATION IS FOR
PRECIP SHIELD TO FOCUS SOUTH OF THE REGION CLOSER TO MID ATLANTIC
STATIONARY FRONTAL SYSTEM...

Quote:
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
338 AM EDT TUE MAY 10 2016

A WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM THE OHIO VALLEY INTO
VIRGINIA TODAY WILL BECOME A STATIONARY FRONT ON WEDNESDAY. BY
THURSDAY, IT WILL BEGIN MOVING NORTHWARD AGAIN AS A WARM FRONT
WITH AN ASSOCIATED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM COMING INTO THE GREAT
LAKES.

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Old 05-10-2016, 04:35 AM
 
29,433 posts, read 19,518,401 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Uh Oh... AO getting out of negative territory? Warmer Pattern change coming for Northeast?


https://twitter.com/DanLeonard_wx/st...70602656059392



Yup looks that way. Though we have a good 5 days of below average temps here before a warm up is possible.



Tornadoes rake the nation

Chi/ORD's seven day forecast.


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Old 05-10-2016, 04:49 AM
 
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Check out the Euro


https://twitter.com/JimCantore/statu...62766933606400
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Old 05-10-2016, 05:00 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,358 posts, read 74,779,265 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
Check out the Euro
When did we see this same thought? Oh yeah, for April and Early May and look what happened. lolol.


My rule of thumb will always stand.


In a cool pattern don't believe the warmth shown in long range. Vise versa. In a very warm pattern, don't believe the cold shown in the long range. Until we get closer in time like within 5 days out.


This new cooler pattern is only 5 weeks old.
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Old 05-10-2016, 06:24 AM
nei nei won $500 in our forum's Most Engaging Poster Contest - Thirteenth Edition (Jan-Feb 2015). 

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Location: Western Massachusetts
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Saw frost on my car, nothing on the ground. Could have been too late in the morning (7:18 1hr45min after sunrise) but the sun had done that much heating yet. I wonder if cars have faster radiational cooling?

Warmer air coming in. Should be a big diurnal range, 35-40°F. 35°F at 6:30, now 48°F.
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Old 05-10-2016, 07:58 AM
 
29,433 posts, read 19,518,401 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
When did we see this same thought? Oh yeah, for April and Early May and look what happened. lolol.


My rule of thumb will always stand.


In a cool pattern don't believe the warmth shown in long range. Vise versa. In a very warm pattern, don't believe the cold shown in the long range. Until we get closer in time like within 5 days out.


This new cooler pattern is only 5 weeks old.


Ok, Euro or the CFS? Which model do you trust?


https://twitter.com/GenscapeWx/statu...19679536820224
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Old 05-10-2016, 08:33 AM
 
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Rainy day here on and off..... Strong storms downstate


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Old 05-10-2016, 09:11 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,358 posts, read 74,779,265 times
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5 Maps. 5 Comments.


Why can't it be like this April through August!!?? 60s/70s, sunny & dry! Awesome weather this week!





Then, Hammer drops this weekend. What the??


GFS6z for Sunday. Forget the 540 thickness line. 534 thickness in the area??? 528 near the Lakes???? Flurries for northern tier/Great Lakes? Chilly air mass non the less.







850mb Temp Anomalies this weekend. No end yet. Seasonable then boom, these cold shots keep coming.





GFS6z Max temps for Sunday. WTF? Some places not getting out of the 40s? NYC & Philly only 50s? Especially if there is cloud cover around. No 60s north of DC Sunday?





GFS6z Min temps Monday morning. Frost and Freezes.







Henry Video... Start at 4:00..Here it comes. He sounds upset. lol
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