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Euro12z data for Philly... Holy Gees! Obviously... these are the details that I always say ignore but how can you? LOL
2.10" qpf (liquid) while temps are in the 20s at the surface and aloft. WTF!? At 10:1 ratios that means 20 inches of snow for Philly. HUGE.
Here's Danbury, CT near me. 1.44" qpf. Temps in low mid 20s so higher ratios. 14-16" snowstorm. Damn Euro... nice flip flop from yesterday staying south for a miss.
Euro12z data for Philly... Holy Gees! Obviously... these are the details that I always say ignore but how can you? LOL
2.10" qpf (liquid) while temps are in the 20s at the surface and aloft. WTF!? At 10:1 ratios that means 20 inches of snow for Philly. HUGE.
Here's Danbury, CT near me. 1.44" qpf. Temps in low mid 20s so higher ratios. 14-16" snowstorm. Damn Euro... nice flip flop from yesterday staying south for a miss.
20 inches? Oh man... And it looks like it would be at a very convenient time, too. Please let it be!
So where is this thing right now? I played the loop back and forth and followed it... It's right there.. West of Alaska. That storm off the East coast on this map is actually right now, not for Saturday. Ironically this next storm could be in same positon. But that's part of the energy and its path...
There is no data fed into the models in the Pacific there so that's why DETAILS will never be known until at least 3 days out. So by Tuesday night we'll start to get an idea on the details.
You can play the loop here for free and follow it. Reason why storms are easier to pick up is because you don't change the track of the upper air pattern as drastically. So it's basically going to follow that path but the detail of the track wont be known. Shift of just miles has different track results.
When is the best time to look at models when looking at winter storms?
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Please let it be!
