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Chicopee is reading 75°F, but it feels cool-ish. Gloomy afternoon, must have stopped the temps from rising. Chicopee probably got some sun? Mt. Washington is having its warmest October to-date on record
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
352 PM EDT Mon Oct 17 2016
As of 344 PM EDT Monday...ECMWF and GFS models showing some
timing differences on Thursday with the ECMWF faster than the GFS
in bringing rain into the region on Thursday. Models show a
digging upper trough over the Mississippi valley which will
transport plenty of moisture northeast into the region from the
Ohio valley and the lower Mississippi valley on Thursday and
Friday. The cold front associated with this will be slow to move
eastward, as both the ECMWF and GFS models showing a hybrid
subtropical low over the western Atlantic that will drift slowly
northward Thursday and Friday. This low will slow the eastward
progression of the front on Thursday and Friday. Have gone with
likely pops for rain on Thursday and Friday. Models showing some
timing differences on Saturday with the ECMWF much more
progressive than the GFS with less QPF on Saturday, while the GFS
model is slower and suggesting a wetter day and more QPF across
the region on Saturday. Have stuck with the superblend pops from
Saturday through Monday, given the model timing differences. Model
guidance showing colder air aloft will move into the region
Saturday night and Sunday, as an upper trough moves through the
region. The higher summits of the Adirondacks and Green Mountains
will likely see some snow showers Saturday night and Sunday.
91 here today no fall for us anymore in my area. The last 28 years have really warmed up.
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