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Looks like another round of storms should develop.
Quote:
Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent
SUMMARY...The risk for severe thunderstorms capable of large hail,
damaging winds, and tornadoes will be increasing through the late
afternoon and into the evening. The issuance of a Tornado Watch is
likely within the next few hours.
DISCUSSION...The isallobaric response to 2-hour pressure falls on
the order of 2-4 mb across the lower MS Valley will be the continued
northward advance of a warm front analyzed approximately west-east
across southern LA. The air mass south of this boundary is
characterized by surface dewpoints in the middle 60s to around 70F,
supporting moderate to locally strong buoyancy -- aided by steep
midlevel lapse rates sampled by the 18Z Slidell sounding (around 8
C/km in the 700-500-mb layer). As this air mass continues to spread
northward within a modest warm-advection regime well in advance of
stronger deep ascent farther west, diurnally reduced capping and
modest ascent will likely support an increase in surface-based
thunderstorm development -- especially during the late afternoon and
evening as more vigorous ascent approaches. Initial shallow
convective towers are already evolving along the warm frontal zone
across parts of southern LA, in proximity to pockets of stronger
insolation, per visible imagery.
While there is some uncertainty regarding the timing of more robust
convective development given the aforementioned capping, effective
shear around 45-60 kt will likely support supercell structures.
Initially, large hail will be likely, though elongating/increasingly
curved low-level hodographs into the evening hours suggest that the
tornado risk will likely increase. Damaging winds will also be
possible in conjunction with small-scale, congealing convective
clusters.
Location: Live:Downtown Phoenix, AZ/Work:Greater Los Angeles, CA
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Quote:
Originally Posted by muslim12
This is not right cambium, I'm tired of being cheated of any warmth. Average high for the month running a mere 2 degrees above average. I was supposed to reach 66, well you see what it is now. I can't take this crap anymore, everywhere but my area seeing nice warmth. It is driving me crazy, is God trolling me, is mother nature trolling me? I'm about to go insane, this is getting preposterous. Average high for today is 51, soon to be 52. So it's not like today's high is anything special.
This would be like the entire east seeing mean cold except your area. I'm sure it would **** you off. Honestly let it get cold I'm done with this crap.
At least you are seasonal, our normal high is 69° and the warmest two days in our updated 7 day are only forecast to hit 62° (the 27th&28th)
If this upcoming cold snap doesn't verify I'm going to be more than a little disappointed...
Wow..... And Monroe will be ABOVE average if that verifies......
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. With all the rain its going to be even slower. Good luck.
