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From NWS Raleigh. Will read this later. I'm sure there's some good stuff in it.
Have decided to go a conservative with the increase in snow amounts
from the previous forecast as difficult to increase snow amounts two
fold based on one model run that is much wetter compared to its
earlier counterparts.
I find this pretty amusing. It sounds like he can't believe what he is seeing.
From what other forecasters are saying, I'm expecting somewhere between 8-10 in the Raleigh area.
Here are the storm tracks. I color coordinated it for you. Source:
There's 2 snow events.
1st wave: In Red: 7pm tonight the low will form off the Carolinas and head up the coast.
2nd wave: In Blue: Storm forming in Gulf today and will head up the coast.
Now imaging what a 100 mile change in track does. Isn't that crazy to think? I feel bad for forecasters.
If that 2nd storm blue track goes west 150 miles, NYC gets snow. Right now non is forecasted. Storm too far off shore.
Muslim, can you or someone else explain why the heck it's going to be in the low single digits east of Raleigh? Everywhere else thats getting all of this snow will be the teens or even the low 20's. For instance, Greenville, SC will be hitting a low of 12 degrees over the weekend for its lowest low. Yet, a coastal, lower lying area like Greenville, NC will be hitting single digits?!
Muslim, can you or someone else explain why the heck it's going to be in the low single digits east of Raleigh? Everywhere else thats getting all of this snow will be the teens or even the low 20's. For instance, Greenville, SC will be hitting a low of 12 degrees over the weekend for its lowest low. Yet, a coastal, lower lying area like Greenville, NC will be hitting single digits?!
All of these temperatures are from Accuweather.
Winds or Snowpack. A snowpack is like being in a freezer. Deeper it is, the colder the air surrounding it is. Let me see if I can pull up a memory map.. hang on
Muslim, can you or someone else explain why the heck it's going to be in the low single digits east of Raleigh? Everywhere else thats getting all of this snow will be the teens or even the low 20's. For instance, Greenville, SC will be hitting a low of 12 degrees over the weekend for its lowest low. Yet, a coastal, lower lying area like Greenville, NC will be hitting single digits?!
All of these temperatures are from Accuweather.
AccuWeather is going for rock bottom temps. Local forecaster being modest. Reason is simple, snowpack. I doubt it will get that cold but the possibility is there.
Euro12z map.. Dotted dark blue line is the rain snow line so you can see how the snow shield extends back enough to give snows to the coast. Light Green = flurries though.
The storm over the ocean is not even consolidated. See it? Its elongated. Sometimes this helps extend the precip shield back more vs having a compact storm.
Here's the snow totals from it.
5-8" for the MA capes. NYC manages to get a little from it.
More realistic for NC? Only a local area of 10"+. Small swath of 4-8" Raleigh included
As I expected... Upgraded to Winter Storm Warning for Georgia now for snow. Are they ready? 1 week we been talking about this. ONE WEEK
Last time that area of Georgia had a Winter Storm warning was 348 days ago. January 23, 2016
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