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Old 03-19-2017, 12:52 PM
 
Location: New York Area
35,061 posts, read 16,995,362 times
Reputation: 30204

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Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
https://twitter.com/MJVentrice/statu...89657424465920
Atmosphere is moving into the strongest La Nina base state observed since 2012. Forecast projects the index to push down to -1.1 sigma
The El Niño predictors are agenda-driven.
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Old 03-19-2017, 01:51 PM
 
29,520 posts, read 19,612,482 times
Reputation: 4542
Quote:
Originally Posted by jbgusa View Post
The El Niño predictors are agenda-driven.
That would mean that all models are bias. I don't disagree, there are warm bias in models but have you seen the SST'S regiom 1+2 lately? Torching. Also Bastardi thinks another El Nino is coming and is far from a warmist..
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Old 03-19-2017, 09:35 PM
 
29,520 posts, read 19,612,482 times
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https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/843661242078248960
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Old 03-20-2017, 08:29 AM
 
29,520 posts, read 19,612,482 times
Reputation: 4542
Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
That would mean that all models are bias. I don't disagree, there are warm bias in models but have you seen the SST'S regiom 1+2 lately? Torching. Also Bastardi thinks another El Nino is coming and is far from a warmist..
What I mean


https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/s...62412838776832
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Old 03-20-2017, 04:05 PM
 
Location: Lima, Peru
963 posts, read 855,234 times
Reputation: 386
Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post

(Coastal) El Niño in full scale in the northern and central coast of Peru: landslides and floodings everywhere, only comparable with the events of 1983 and 1998. Lots of roads and highways destroyed, over 150 bridges collapsed.

Floods and mudslides kill dozens in Peru - BBC News

https://www.theguardian.com/world/20...climate-change

Abnormal El Nino in Peru unleashes deadly downpours; more flooding seen | Reuters
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Old 03-20-2017, 08:37 PM
 
Location: João Pessoa,Brazil(The easternmost point of Americas)
2,540 posts, read 2,004,296 times
Reputation: 644
Quote:
Originally Posted by pepe3797 View Post
(Coastal) El Niño in full scale in the northern and central coast of Peru: landslides and floodings everywhere, only comparable with the events of 1983 and 1998. Lots of roads and highways destroyed, over 150 bridges collapsed.

Floods and mudslides kill dozens in Peru - BBC News

https://www.theguardian.com/world/20...climate-change

Abnormal El Nino in Peru unleashes deadly downpours; more flooding seen | Reuters
While this, here on the east coast the drought keep on since 2010 at least.
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Old 03-20-2017, 10:35 PM
 
Location: New York Area
35,061 posts, read 16,995,362 times
Reputation: 30204
Quote:
Originally Posted by pepe3797 View Post
(Coastal) El Niño in full scale in the northern and central coast of Peru: landslides and floodings everywhere, only comparable with the events of 1983 and 1998. Lots of roads and highways destroyed, over 150 bridges collapsed.
What about 1972?

Quote:
Originally Posted by ghost-likin View Post
While this, here on the east coast the drought keep on since 2010 at least.
Isn't that typical of a warm Pacific near Peru?
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Old 03-20-2017, 10:53 PM
 
Location: João Pessoa,Brazil(The easternmost point of Americas)
2,540 posts, read 2,004,296 times
Reputation: 644
Quote:
Originally Posted by jbgusa View Post
What about 1972?

Isn't that typical of a warm Pacific near Peru?
Yes, El nino brings more rain to the west coast and cause drought here on east(tropical areas), while La nina is inverse.
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Old 03-21-2017, 08:08 AM
 
29,520 posts, read 19,612,482 times
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https://twitter.com/commoditywx/stat...73417858338816
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Old 03-21-2017, 11:51 AM
 
29,520 posts, read 19,612,482 times
Reputation: 4542
https://twitter.com/commoditywx/stat...43940320722945
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