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Here's a nice animation I made showing the insane "consistent" trend with the GFS past 3 days. Each run was south and south. You can look at the heaviest snow axis OR the northern edges of it. Actually southern edge too. It's obvious all around.
March 4th started with a New England Snowstorm
March 5th was Southern NewEngland/Northern Mid Atlantic
March 6th was Northern Mid Atlantic
Today is Mid Atlantic.
Watch Chicago be inside the zone then get screwed. Kentucky go from none to some
weird, may eventually it continue down and predict a Gulf Coast snowstorm
Lol. Can u imagine? At this point a further south storm would result in just rain and high elevation snows down south. The snow can only go so far. Its not like its January with Arctic air in place down south.
And I fear because its so far south we will be in the Arctic in New England.
Lol. Can u imagine? At this point a further south storm would result in just rain and high elevation snows down south. The snow can only go so far. Its not like its January with Arctic air in place down south.
Yea, I wasn't serious. If the models trended southward, it'd be rain
Quote:
And I fear because its so far south we will be in the Arctic in New England.
next weekend looks very cold for March; a repeat of last weekend? Perhaps longer lasting.
next weekend looks very cold for March; a repeat of last weekend? Perhaps longer lasting.
Any snow that falls here on Friday I guess wont melt quick then. Strange to say in March! Yeah, seems like the cold is lasting longer than the warm this month.
I've had enough of the Arctic Tundra "springs" in Upstate NY. I hope we get blasted with -40° C weather next week so at least they cancel uni. Too late for this bull****. To hell with Snowchester, Freezaca, Siberacuse, etc
Right now Wunderground is showing 3" on Saturday, with a high of 36F. NWS has a high of 42F with a chance of snow and rain, and the discussion calls it "something to watch". Just have to wait and see. Looks like it's already trending the way of previous ones, though.
I like how conservative they are. lol . I was curious what they were saying so just checked the latest... What we already knew in blue... Interesting in red.
Quote:
National Weather Service Louisville KY
1200 PM EST Tue Mar 7 2017
Low pressure is currently expected to move from Oklahoma to Arkansas
Saturday, then to Georgia/South Carolina by Sunday evening and then
off the East Coast. The operational runs of the GFS and the ECMWF
have come into much better agreement with this scenario. It`s also
interesting to note that the GFS has had a very steady, definite run- to-run trend lately. Seven runs ago it had the band of heaviest precipitation stretching from Wisconsin to New England, but with each successive run it has pushed that band farther south, to where it now is aligned roughly with the Ohio Valley, very close to the current Euro.
While that lends some confidence to the solution, it
must be noted that the GEM is still not in agreement (it`s still
further south) and Saturday is still a long way away in meteorological time. (Just look at how much change there has been in the GFS from seven runs ago to today!) Lots can, and likely will, change between now and then.
The upper trof associated with this
precip won`t even be into the upper air network until Thursday night
or Friday. There will also need to be some phasing between the
northern stream upper wave and the southern stream surface low for
this to pan out -- and the models often have a difficult time with degrees of phasing even in the near term. Having said that,
currently the GFS/EC have the 540 1000-500 thickness line wavering
back and forth right over the LMK CWA. Sounding progs do show
saturation in cold air aloft, especially in southern Indiana and
northern Kentucky. Nothing definite can be said quite yet, but as of
right now there is a signal for the potential of some wintry weather
Saturday and Saturday night. Just something to watch over the coming
days.
Everyone (& I) been so focused on this weekend storm I just realized Euro12z has 3 snow events for us.
Here's Hartford's Data.
Not to forget to mention the below freezing temps from Friday to Thursday. (except Tuesday)
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