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Old 04-08-2017, 09:34 AM
 
Location: Lexington, KY
12,278 posts, read 9,454,092 times
Reputation: 2763

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Quote:
Originally Posted by Stitch227 View Post
Would be a miracle. I don't know how we are still showing signs for an above average summer after 6 of the last 7 years have been above average. Ridiculous.
Really? Last year was the first above average summer since 2012 here.

 
Old 04-08-2017, 10:29 AM
 
Location: Philly suburbs
168 posts, read 105,915 times
Reputation: 77
Quote:
Originally Posted by Wildcat15 View Post
Really? Last year was the first above average summer since 2012 here.
Wow. Just shows how much we've been screwed. Only 2014 was below average for Philly since 2010. Don't think we've had a below average June since 2009.
 
Old 04-08-2017, 10:42 AM
 
29,522 posts, read 19,620,154 times
Reputation: 4542
For us... Since 2010

Going by average highs. Chicago/MDW has a summer average high of 82.7F


2010:84.2F
2011:83.8F
2012:86.9F
2013:81.8F
2014:82.1F
2015:81.7F
2016:84.5F
 
Old 04-08-2017, 10:50 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,516 posts, read 75,307,397 times
Reputation: 16619
Quote:
Originally Posted by Stitch227 View Post
Would be a miracle. I don't know how we are still showing signs for an above average summer after 6 of the last 7 years have been above average. Ridiculous.
Yup, 2009 and 2014 we had a below normal Summer so 6 of last 7 were above.
Including 2007, 8 of last 10 Summers were above normal here.
But 2015 was only slightly above. I'd call it "normal".


Quote:
Originally Posted by Wildcat15 View Post
Really? Last year was the first above average summer since 2012 here.
Not that I didn't believe you but I had to see it to believe it. WOW. WTF? lol
 
Old 04-08-2017, 10:54 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,516 posts, read 75,307,397 times
Reputation: 16619
Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
Have a feeling this summer wont be as warm as forecast by many


I see a flat line from 2005-2006 and 2010-2011. So we could be flat lining again on the chart with high demand.. But yeah, more chances of a drop as history has shown.


Ironically 2009 & 2014 were the only below normal summers in past 10 yrs. Cooler Summer = Less demand as chart shows.
 
Old 04-10-2017, 12:03 PM
 
29,522 posts, read 19,620,154 times
Reputation: 4542
https://twitter.com/commoditywx/stat...94726150828034
 
Old 04-10-2017, 12:12 PM
 
Location: Seoul
11,554 posts, read 9,327,637 times
Reputation: 4660
Recent trend has been above average summers. Only 2009 and 2014 have not been above average
 
Old 04-10-2017, 12:20 PM
B87
 
Location: Surrey/London
11,769 posts, read 10,597,260 times
Reputation: 3099
This April has recorded about 90 hours of sun so far, and is well on course to surpass 200 hours, based on the forecast (average is 170 hrs).

It seems very similar (though cooler) to the Aprils of 2007 and 2011, which were the sunniest months of those years. Both were followed by shockingly bad summers, with record breaking rainfall and cloudiness. Hopefully that won't be the case this summer - we are well overdue a sunny one.
 
Old 04-11-2017, 08:09 AM
 
29,522 posts, read 19,620,154 times
Reputation: 4542
Bastardi came up with these analog years for next winter


https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/s...90500344598528


So I took those years and created a composite for the summer. SUCKS

 
Old 04-11-2017, 09:07 AM
 
29,522 posts, read 19,620,154 times
Reputation: 4542
Big difference if we don't enter Modoki until later in the summer or fall and stay ENSO neutral warm/weak El Nino


https://twitter.com/B_Carp01/status/851813410497073157
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