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Old 11-13-2017, 08:45 AM
 
Location: Laurentia
5,576 posts, read 7,998,619 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
An approaching frontal system will have a secondary low passing southeast of Long Island today and then well out into the Atlantic tonight into Tuesday.


2:15-6:15am loop. Snowing in Syracuse. Raining in NJ. Freezing fog in Illinois.


Might see some mixing in the NJ , MA, CT hills at the start

Boy, that looks like a fun snowstorm for upstate NY .

Quote:
Originally Posted by muslim12 View Post
Official, this November is going to be one of the coldest on record. Im betting top 3 now.... forecast looks straight out of winter. Average high in 60s with only 2 days forecast to reach the average high of 64. I dont get this, the cold is only focused on us whilst many other areas are average... NYC has an average forecast while im record cold for the next 10 days....
Personally my hope for an early and severe winter is shaping up to be "so far so good". We should be in pretty much the same pattern through the end of the month, which itself is getting to be a little bit unusual.

Quote:
Originally Posted by nei View Post
neat cold air damming. South gets that often in the winter?

https://twitter.com/DrShepherd2013/s...60449474088967
Eh, it happens a lot not just in the winter but at any point in the cooler half of the year.

Quote:
Originally Posted by rpvan View Post
Last year the jet started to dive south and hit CA starting around now. Only difference was the southern stream was too strong and flooded most of the lower 48 with warm air from Dec-Feb. Only the PNW received arctic air as the northern jet was also suppressed here.

This winter looks to be a lot different. Could be a rare coast to coast icebox. Major -NAO and -EPO. At least according to the pioneer model.
Indeed. Such a scenario, namely a nationwide icebox (which would be FANTASTIC!) is starting to look more likely to me, but it's early days yet.

Quote:
Originally Posted by FirebirdCamaro1220 View Post
The SW is the only warm part on that map, seems like a winter 10-11 setup
Correct, but in 2010-11 the cold was only that extensive for 2 weeks in midwinter, not the whole season. I believe 2014 and 2015 had more extended bouts of that pattern due to the stronger Pacific blocking, albeit with California much hotter than that model portends for it this year.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Posted October 16th.




So in Eastern U.S (north of southeast states) we had quiet, dry and Hot weather from about September 10th to October 22nd with a ridge in place......

Ever since that front on October 23rd-24th, this is what happened....

  • Frosts to Ohio valley end of October
  • Freeze warnings and cold with frosts to the Gulf coast states
  • Florida dropped below 60, 30s in the northern part
  • Snowstorm for Minnesota and Ontario 27th
  • Lots of rain for New England
  • Another Front on 29th with a Big Coastal storm NJ to Northern NY Sub 974mb
  • Snow for the Appalachians Georgia to PA
  • Lake Effect snow for Buffalo area
  • Freezes down to Florida
  • Snow in Kansas and Nebraska (31st)
  • Snow in Indiana & Ohio in morning (1st)
  • Snow in Duluth all day (15” for season, well above normal)
  • Snow in Seattle, Olympia, & Vancouver Nov 3rd
  • Another snowstorm for ND, MN, Manitoba, & Ontario Nov 4th
  • Another cold front Nov 3rd & again Nov 6th
  • High elevation snowflakes for PA, NY, CT, MA Nov 8th
  • 6-12” Snowstorm in Quebec
  • Arctic Front Nov 10th, Polar Vortex into Hudson Bay, Record cold northeast. Lake Effect snow and streamers. 20s down to Virginia.
Indeed. Winter's approaching faster than many of us suspected .

 
Old 11-13-2017, 09:02 AM
 
Location: Live:Downtown Phoenix, AZ/Work:Greater Los Angeles, CA
27,606 posts, read 14,601,062 times
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21.1°C with a dewpoint of 1.7°C at 9am Mountain Time
 
Old 11-13-2017, 09:03 AM
 
Location: Seoul
11,554 posts, read 9,325,947 times
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-3.5F departure this month, but doesn't feel like it. Been really mild. November is one of those months that you don't really notice cold weather
 
Old 11-13-2017, 09:22 AM
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Location: Western Massachusetts
45,983 posts, read 53,478,433 times
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neat graphic. Did you know? I glanced at them before, that's it

https://twitter.com/NWSBurlington/st...08140988792833
 
Old 11-13-2017, 10:26 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,515 posts, read 75,294,816 times
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Adirondacks got a little snow today. Hearing reports of snow down in CT as well (higher elevations in Northwest corner)


Whiteface Mountain





12:20pm Map with 850mb temps. I see why. Raining at the lower surfaces but its below freezing at 5000'. So if precip is falling hard enough snow is reaching down to 1500'

I see a darker blue over Western MA so they're seeing snow down to 1500' at least. Pittsfield just reporting Overcast so a lot of the moisture isn't making it down anyway.

 
Old 11-13-2017, 10:29 AM
nei nei won $500 in our forum's Most Engaging Poster Contest - Thirteenth Edition (Jan-Feb 2015). 

Over $104,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum and additional contests are planned
 
Location: Western Massachusetts
45,983 posts, read 53,478,433 times
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I see a few flakes out my window; map shows rain for me; boundary moving east quickly?
 
Old 11-13-2017, 10:46 AM
nei nei won $500 in our forum's Most Engaging Poster Contest - Thirteenth Edition (Jan-Feb 2015). 

Over $104,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum and additional contests are planned
 
Location: Western Massachusetts
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Reputation: 15184
snow sticking up in the hills

https://twitter.com/nickbannin/statu...25124577185792
 
Old 11-13-2017, 12:01 PM
 
Location: Live:Downtown Phoenix, AZ/Work:Greater Los Angeles, CA
27,606 posts, read 14,601,062 times
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26.7°C with a dewpoint of 1.7°C at noon Mountain Time
 
Old 11-13-2017, 01:56 PM
 
Location: Bologna, Italy
7,501 posts, read 6,290,442 times
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Snow here today, mostly melted now I suppose (it's dark):

Maltempo, Bologna imbiancata dalla neve: scenari da sogno, e disagi per strada - 1 di 1 - Bologna - Repubblica.it
 
Old 11-13-2017, 02:43 PM
 
Location: New York
11,326 posts, read 20,331,120 times
Reputation: 6231
Quote:
Originally Posted by muslim12 View Post
Official, this November is going to be one of the coldest on record. Im betting top 3 now.... forecast looks straight out of winter. Average high in 60s with only 2 days forecast to reach the average high of 64. I dont get this, the cold is only focused on us whilst many other areas are average... NYC has an average forecast while im record cold for the next 10 days....
No we don’t lol. Our average high right now is 56, only one day in the 10 day looks normal, the rest below. No record cold though.
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