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Old 09-15-2017, 05:29 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
65,048 posts, read 47,383,181 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by rpvan View Post
Complete opposite here in the PNW. I just want a back loaded winter for a change. In the past 30 odd years, most winters have peaked in Nov/Dec. I hope we return to a 1950s-70s pattern with winter peaking in Jan/Feb as they have more potential for colder and longer lasting arctic blasts.

↑ This!


That's what I was saying in the Fall thread... Recent years it seems like the Western U.S and northern Plains have benefited from early winter first as the Jet stream digs there, not the East.



Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
JAMSTEC came out with latest seasonal forecast. Looking very La Nina like
Using the Japanese update, I wouldn't mind that. Even though its showing "reds" here, the dividing line is an indication where the Jet stream would be.


So get that Polar Jet stream (black line) to shift south more at times, with an active Sub tropical Jet (green) and we'll get some nice snows across the northern tier and into Northeast


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Old 09-15-2017, 06:36 AM
 
Location: Northeast Suburbs of PITTSBURGH
3,492 posts, read 3,305,978 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
↑ This!


That's what I was saying in the Fall thread... Recent years it seems like the Western U.S and northern Plains have benefited from early winter first as the Jet stream digs there, not the East.





Using the Japanese update, I wouldn't mind that. Even though its showing "reds" here, the dividing line is an indication where the Jet stream would be.


So get that Polar Jet stream (black line) to shift south more at times, with an active Sub tropical Jet (green) and we'll get some nice snows across the northern tier and into Northeast

So we should have a snowier season here in the northeast even if it's a bit above average then? One area I'm not very versed with is interpreting these updates. I really don't want another sub 40" snow winter
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Old 09-15-2017, 08:42 AM
 
Location: Mid Atlantic USA
12,096 posts, read 9,618,988 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
JAMSTEC came out with latest seasonal forecast. Looking very La Nina like


In my experience those JAMSTEC change quite a bit between September and November. Their sept 2013 forecast predicted warm in the east, and by November it had flipped. We all know how that winter turned out. I pay no attention to JAMSTEC this far out.
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Old 09-15-2017, 08:54 AM
 
Location: NYC
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Here's hoping to some massive negative anomalies. I want another subzero at Central Park.

Not trusting models too much at this point.
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Old 09-15-2017, 12:08 PM
 
Location: Vancouver, BC
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Overall mild winter here please with no more than a couple of major snowfalls would be great please. I don't want a repeat of last winter.
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Old 09-15-2017, 12:23 PM
 
21,924 posts, read 11,591,595 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tom77falcons View Post
In my experience those JAMSTEC change quite a bit between September and November. Their sept 2013 forecast predicted warm in the east, and by November it had flipped. We all know how that winter turned out. I pay no attention to JAMSTEC this far out.
Good point. Same can be said with the CFSv2. It more to look at the general trends though, and if there are model consensus.

I'm loving this winter's analog. 2007-08 was a great winter here.


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Old 09-15-2017, 12:25 PM
 
Location: Tucson, AZ
5,205 posts, read 2,321,337 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
I'm loving this winter's analog


nope nope nope

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Old 09-15-2017, 02:03 PM
 
Location: Fort Lauderdale, Florida
8,198 posts, read 7,485,915 times
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I want a nice, dry, sunny, blue sky, warm to hot South Florida winter!

Days 78-83, nights 60 degrees.

A cold day of 55 degrees here and there would be okay. But no more than three!
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Old 09-15-2017, 02:07 PM
 
Location: Tucson, AZ
5,205 posts, read 2,321,337 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blueherons View Post
I want a nice, dry, sunny, blue sky, warm to hot South Florida winter!

Days 78-83, nights 60 degrees.

A cold day of 55 degrees here and there would be okay. But no more than three!
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Old 09-15-2017, 02:13 PM
 
Location: Lizard Lick, NC
5,849 posts, read 2,471,764 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by AJ1013 View Post
Lol, im rooting for a week of rainy wet 50s for you. Not rooting for any lows below 40 though lol.
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