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Old 05-04-2018, 05:33 PM
 
Location: Seoul
11,554 posts, read 9,324,204 times
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2009 was a horrible horrible summer, really hope that doesn't happen again. 2006 was incredibly warm tho~they couldn't have chosen two years that were more different from each other
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Old 05-04-2018, 05:41 PM
B87
 
Location: Surrey/London
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Looking at the entire record, when you look at extremely cloudy summers (those with less than 500 hours), there's definitely an increasing trend recently.

57-59: 1
60-69: 1
70-79: 3
80-89: 1
90-99: 0
00-09: 2
10-17: 4 (could possibly be 6 by the end of the decade)
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Old 05-04-2018, 07:53 PM
 
Location: Southern Ontario
308 posts, read 225,429 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Warszawa View Post
2009 was a horrible horrible summer, really hope that doesn't happen again. 2006 was incredibly warm tho~they couldn't have chosen two years that were more different from each other
Similar ENSO states.

The major telliconnections were different though.

2006 had a +AO. 2009 had a -AO.
2006 +NAO, 2009 -NAO.
2006 -PNA, 2009 +PNA

Basically 2006 had all the ingredients for a warm summer, the complete opposite happened in 2009.
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Old 05-05-2018, 06:53 AM
 
29,519 posts, read 19,612,482 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheRealDavid View Post
Similar ENSO states.

The major telliconnections were different though.

2006 had a +AO. 2009 had a -AO.
2006 +NAO, 2009 -NAO.
2006 -PNA, 2009 +PNA


Basically 2006 had all the ingredients for a warm summer, the complete opposite happened in 2009.

And that is what I think it will boil down to. ENSO neutral or weak El Nino/La Nina alone can be easily dominated by those telliconnections



SST difference May 2006, 2009 and right now










Pacific looks a little more like 2006 and Atlantic is much cooler now than in 2006
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Old 05-05-2018, 08:42 AM
 
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I don't want another summer of 2006.
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Old 05-05-2018, 12:47 PM
 
Location: Fort Worth, Texas
4,877 posts, read 4,214,588 times
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^^^^^^^^^^^^^

LJK1988 your climate is almost certainly gonna resemble Jamaica as a result of global warming, no need to worry about desertification in your neck of the woods.
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Old 05-05-2018, 01:15 PM
 
30,431 posts, read 21,241,024 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Isleofpalms85 View Post
^^^^^^^^^^^^^

LJK1988 your climate is almost certainly gonna resemble Jamaica as a result of global warming, no need to worry about desertification in your neck of the woods.
2006 the whole summer we were stuck in a reverse west wind flow. Everyone 8 to 20 miles east of me had plenty of rain while anyone right on the coast had no rain that summer. I had like 5" for the whole summer..

Our weather is much hotter than Jamaica ever dreamed of being. Our dewpoints are much worse.
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Old 05-05-2018, 01:21 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,513 posts, read 75,277,900 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
Accuweather came out with their summer forecast. Looks like an active muggy summer according to them for us..



https://www.accuweather.com/en/weath...lains/70004802
Just got around to this... I had to laugh at this statement..

"From heat to humidity and severe weather, the Northeast and mid-Atlantic are set to experience a bit of everything this summer." Don't we always have that anyway? LOL

Quote:
Summer to bring heat, humidity and severe weather to Northeast, mid-Atlantic

From heat to humidity and severe weather, the Northeast and mid-Atlantic are set to experience a bit of everything this summer.

A few hot periods will take hold throughout the summer, though it won’t be persistent.

“I think there’s going to be surge later in June when we really start to feel some heat here in the Northeast. But will it stick around the whole summer? I don’t think that’s going to happen,” AccuWeather Expert Long-Range Forecaster Paul Pastelok said.

I-95 cities, including New York City, Boston and Philadelphia, are predicted to average close to normal with respect to the number of 90-degree days.

“Humidity-wise they’ll have to watch out for August. That may be up a little bit,” he said.

Severe weather could strike the northern mid-Atlantic states and eastern Ohio in June.

In July, that risk will shift farther northward.
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Old 05-05-2018, 03:25 PM
 
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And we are in a few T storms so it could be another 2006 again.
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Old 05-06-2018, 05:35 AM
 
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Just great. Bastardi said in his Weekend Summary, that 2014 is a possible analog for this upcoming summer.
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