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View Poll Results: When will El Nino be present?
Before September 2018 2 8.70%
Between September 1- October 31, 2018 5 21.74%
After November 1st 10 43.48%
Spring 2019 6 26.09%
Voters: 23. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 07-20-2018, 04:38 PM
 
Location: Vancouver, BC
604 posts, read 225,516 times
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If we're bound to see a weak El Nino, '68-69 would be a nice analog to follow. Deepfreeze from late December thru early Feb with temps bottoming out at -23C(-9F) in Metro Vancouver.
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Old 08-06-2018, 04:11 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
65,046 posts, read 47,383,181 times
Reputation: 10528
Canonical? Never heard that term.

Nino4 region is western most region. Its in the mid 80s there while the other regions are 70s or low 80s.

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Old 08-06-2018, 04:39 AM
 
21,921 posts, read 11,591,595 times
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Likely a Modoki El Nino by this autumn and winter. Good for those of us in the eastern two thirds of the US who like snow and colder conditions during the winter
months




Quite hot in the southern tip of mainland Greece today (Mani)... close to 95 degrees. I'll be back in Chicagoland on Wednesday.
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Old 08-06-2018, 01:35 PM
Status: "Will global warming make indianapolis the new death valley?" (set 11 days ago)
 
Location: 46060, Hardiness zone 5b/6a
2,180 posts, read 1,575,539 times
Reputation: 712
I predict a record breaking drought next spring and summer for much of the lower 48 States................
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Old 08-06-2018, 01:48 PM
 
Location: Platte Purchase
1,232 posts, read 619,530 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Isleofpalms85 View Post
I predict a record breaking drought next spring and summer for much of the lower 48 States................
If this actually happens I guess it'll grow out of the Missouri-Kansas-Oklahoma drought right now. Literally every storm that approaches my area breaks into pieces before reaching it.


Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Ahhh, found this in my file.. From 2015 so not long ago.


Syracuse, Minneapolis and Fargo have below normal snowfall when averaging all these El Nino strengths.

Raleigh does well with Strong El Ninos. Their normal is 6.1" and with Strong El Ninos they average 9.0" (1965-66, 1972-73, 1982-83 had 11"+)


Hartford does best with Moderate El Ninos. Out of the 6 Moderate Nino years only 1 had less than 30" that season. 2002-03 had 74"
How does Kansas City do with this? I assume similar to Columbia? 2009-2010 was Nio and very snowy - 4th snowiest on record and most consistently snowy (top 3 snowiest all had one massive snowstorm inflating the total, for example 41 inches of snow in March 1912 alone, 2009-2010 was steady and gradual).

Last edited by Saritra; 08-06-2018 at 02:01 PM..
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Old 08-06-2018, 04:31 PM
 
11,563 posts, read 8,138,317 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Isleofpalms85 View Post
I predict a record breaking drought next spring and summer for much of the lower 48 States................
Now that i can buy for my area. Last super El Nino was a total flop for my area. Not even close to 1997-98.
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Old 08-07-2018, 04:24 AM
 
21,921 posts, read 11,591,595 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Isleofpalms85 View Post
I predict a record breaking drought next spring and summer for much of the lower 48 States................
Modoki El Nino isn't really conducive for drought in the US though.




Either way


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Old 08-07-2018, 04:53 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
65,046 posts, read 47,383,181 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Saritra View Post
How does Kansas City do with this? I assume similar to Columbia?


2009-2010 was Nio and very snowy - 4th snowiest on record and most consistently snowy (top 3 snowiest all had one massive snowstorm inflating the total, for example 41 inches of snow in March 1912 alone, 2009-2010 was steady and gradual).

Yeah, pretty much close to Columbia's numbers. 2009-10 was special and interesting it came off one of the coolest summers in a very long time. Many storms missed me to the south that winter including Feb 6, 2010. 0" here while there was a full fledge snowstorm south of here.

The cut off was incredible. Nothing in NYC but drive 1 hour south and there was almost a foot. (the cut off typically is always interesting anyway but since it was to the south it was remembered. lol)


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Old 08-07-2018, 05:03 AM
 
11,563 posts, read 8,138,317 times
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I just want a repeat of 1997-98 when i had 35" of rain in about 4 months time.
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Old 08-07-2018, 03:42 PM
 
Location: Inland FL
1,007 posts, read 574,370 times
Reputation: 1807
Just want whatever will give us a better chance of cooler weather. I think el Nino ?
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