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The models keep spitting out these insane -25 to -35 temps but I just don't see it. Milwaukee probably goes -14 at lowest, maybe -23 for Waukesha or so. Models really underestimate the moderating effect of Lake Michigan it seems.
Not worth a thread IMO. Too short-lived and too small in extent. It's a total non-event for most of the continent.
Yeah, Pretty crazy how this deep cold is only a 2-3 day thing and not widespread. You would think it would linger around. Fits into this winters story well.
Latest GFS for Chicago. Coldest day is Wednesday. Then Sunday back above normal.
A bit warmer here this morning - low was 36F. Widespread frost Thursday and Friday mornings (got down to 27F Thurs morning).
May see some snow here Tuesday morning next week! NWS showing a 70% of rain/snow mix but not expecting much if any accumulation at this time.
Quote:
A more significant weather system is expected for our region
early next week as an upper level trough digs into the northern
Plains. This will support the development of a strong cold front
which is expected to move through the region Monday night through
Tuesday morning. Forecast model soundings indicate that there will
be a 3-6 hour period where the temperature profile could be
supportive of some snow. However, this will coincide with the time
period that precipitation is exiting the region and the
atmospheric column dries. Therefore, leaned closer to the GFS
solution with the potential for snow to mix in with the rain late
Monday night into Tuesday morning resulting in little to no
accumulation. Confidence in the likelihood or lack thereof for any
snow accumulation will increase as the event gets closer.
This morning's NAM run.
Last edited by ral31; 01-26-2019 at 07:46 AM..
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