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Old 09-20-2019, 12:36 PM
 
Location: Tucson, AZ
5,478 posts, read 2,658,115 times
Reputation: 1247

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Models have been remarkably consistent over the past week bringing copious amounts of rainfall to the deserts of the Southwest, particularly in Arizona. With the potential event now less than five days away I thought I should start a thread to document it. Interestingly, even though Tucson is normally significantly wetter than Phoenix, Phoenix is the city most consistently forecasted to be inundated by this event

Here are some forecasts for locations in Arizona as well as some precipitation maps:

Tucson:




Phoenix:




Precipitation Maps

EC:




GFS:




Feel free to share your thoughts and input as this is an ongoing event
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Old 09-21-2019, 02:28 PM
 
Location: Tucson, AZ
5,478 posts, read 2,658,115 times
Reputation: 1247
Should start monday
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Old 09-21-2019, 03:25 PM
 
Location: Mid Atlantic USA
12,373 posts, read 10,505,232 times
Reputation: 5466
What is causing this. Monsoonal rains?
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Old 09-21-2019, 10:27 PM
 
Location: Tucson, AZ
5,478 posts, read 2,658,115 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tom77falcons View Post
What is causing this. Monsoonal rains?
Combination of a post-tropical system and a cutoff low moving down from the NW. Not really monsoonal.
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Old Today, 02:39 PM
 
Location: Sector 001
7,253 posts, read 6,598,160 times
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I'm so tired of moisture I'm looking to find the most consistently dry yet not overly hot place in the US to move...perhaps Denver to pueblo in Colorado. Enough is enough with all the bleeping moisture.
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Old Today, 04:59 PM
 
Location: Tucson, AZ
5,478 posts, read 2,658,115 times
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Tornado touched down in Northern Phoenix today.
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Old Today, 05:03 PM
 
Location: Bellingham, WA
296 posts, read 240,483 times
Reputation: 166
It looks like most of the rain has missed Phoenix and Tucson proper, no?
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Old Today, 05:07 PM
 
Location: Tucson, AZ
5,478 posts, read 2,658,115 times
Reputation: 1247
Quote:
Originally Posted by tenochitlan View Post
It looks like most of the rain has missed Phoenix and Tucson proper, no?
Phoenix got quite a bit today in areas. Nothing today in Tucson (0.40 yesterday) but its not supposed to start here until tonight.
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