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Victoria, Australia
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL OUTLOOK
Updated at: 7:12pm
Monday Evening: The high pressure system will be south to southeast of Tasmania. No thunderstorms.
Tuesday: The high pressure system will remain east of Tasmania extending into the Tasman Sea. No thunderstorms.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK
Wednesday: The high pressure system is likely to remain east of Tasmania, extending into the Tasman Sea. No thunderstorms are expected.
Thursday: The high pressure system will remain in the Tasman Sea. Its likely a low pressure system will develop in the Great Australian Bight during the day with a strong cold front extending east of that to enter the west of the state at night. Isolated thunderstorms are a slight risk ahead of the front. No severe thunderstorms.
Friday: High pressure is likely to develop over Western Australia. The strong cold front should move over western districts during the early morning and then reach the east later in the day. The low may dissipate. Isolated thunderstorms are possible ahead and with the front. No severe activity.
Saturday: A new high pressure system will move south of Western Australia. Its possible a new front will approach Victoria. No thunderstorms expected.
Sunday: High pressure should remain over Western Australia. The second cold front should burst through the state and there is the risk for isolated cold-cored thunderstorms following it.
Monday: The high pressure system will remain over Western Australia, extending over the Australian inland. Models are diverging on whether or not another low pressure system will develop near Victoria, however at this stage no thunderstorms are expected.
Tuesday: The high pressure system will remain over the Australian inland, extending into the Great Australian Bight. Its likely some sort of disturbance will be over Victoria. No thunderstorms at this stage.
Victoria, Australia
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL OUTLOOK
Updated at: 6:34pm
Tuesday Evening: The high pressure system will remain east of Tasmania extending into the Tasman Sea. No thunderstorms.
Wednesday: The high pressure system is likely to remain east of Tasmania, extending into the Tasman Sea. No thunderstorms are expected.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK
Thursday: The high pressure system will remain in the Tasman Sea. Its likely a low pressure system will develop in the Great Australian Bight during the day with a strong cold front extending east of that to extend over western Victoria later in the day and at night. Isolated thunderstorms are a slight risk ahead of the front. No severe thunderstorms.
Friday: High pressure is likely to develop over Western Australia. The strong cold front should move over western districts during the early morning and then reach the east later in the day. The low pressure system should have dissipated. Isolated thunderstorms are possible ahead and with the front. No severe activity.
Saturday: A new high pressure system will remain west of Western Australia, extending over the inland parts of that state. Its likely that another cold front will move over the state during the day. Isolated thunderstorms are possible with and following the front. No severe thunderstorms.
Sunday: High pressure will be south and west of Western Australia. It is likely a strong low pressure system will develop somewhere near Tasmania, extending a huge load of moisture and disturbance over the state. Isolated thunderstorms are possible anywhere. No severe thunderstorms.
Monday: The high pressure system will remain over Western Australia, extending over the Australian inland. It is likely the low pressure system will move to southeast of Tasmania, however the wrap-around affect may still occurr over Victoria. Isolated thunderstorms remain a slight risk along the Gippsland coast. No severe thunderstorms.
Tuesday: The high pressure system will migrate further south of Western Australia. Its likely some sort of disturbance will be over Victoria. At this stage it is uncertain whether or not thunderstorms will develop.
Wednesday: The high pressure system will move over the southeast of the country. No thunderstorms expected.
Victoria, Australia
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL OUTLOOK
Updated at: 6:08pm
Wednesday Evening: The high pressure system is likely to remain east of Tasmania, extending into the Tasman Sea. No thunderstorms are expected.
Thursday: The high pressure system will remain in the Tasman Sea and near New Zealand. Its likely a low pressure system will develop in the Great Australian Bight during the day with a strong cold front extending east of that to extend over western Victoria later in the day and at night. Isolated thunderstorms are a slight risk ahead of the front. No severe thunderstorms.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK
Friday: High pressure is likely to develop over Western Australia. The strong cold front should move over western districts during the morning and then reach the east later in the day. The low pressure system should have dissipated. Isolated thunderstorms are possible ahead and with the front. No severe activity.
Saturday: A new high pressure system will remain west of Western Australia, extending over the inland parts of that state. Its likely that another cold front will move over the west later in the day. A strong low is also likely to develop west of Tasmania. Isolated thunderstorms are possible with and following the front over the south. No severe thunderstorms.
Sunday: High pressure will be south and west of Western Australia. It is likely a strong low pressure system will move somewhere near Tasmania, extending a huge load of moisture over the state. The cold front will also move over remaining parts of the state. Isolated thunderstorms are possible anywhere generally, but mostly in the south, contracting eastwards later in the day. No severe thunderstorms.
Monday: The high pressure system will extend over the Australian mainland. It is likely the low pressure system will move to southeast of Tasmania, not affecting Victoria. A new cut-off low pressure system could develop to the southwest of Victoria during the day. Isolated thunderstorms remain a slight risk over the Gippsland coast at first, and if the second low develops thunderstorms would be possible across the southwest. No severe thunderstorms.
Tuesday: The high pressure system will remain over the Australian mainland, and also extend into the Great Australian Bight. The cut-off low if developed, will move to eastern Victoria. Isolated thunderstorms would be possible from that. No severe thunderstorms.
Wednesday: The high pressure system should remain over the Australian mainland and extend into the Great Australian Bight and south of Tasmania. The low or disturbance near Victoria should have contracted out of the state. No thunderstorms expected.
Thursday: The high pressure system over the Great Australian Bight will dominate. No thunderstorms.
Victoria, Australia
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL OUTLOOK
Updated at: 9:30am
Thursday: The high pressure system will remain in the Tasman Sea and near New Zealand. Its likely a low pressure system will develop in the Great Australian Bight during the day with a strong cold front extending east of that to extend over western Victoria later in the day and at night. Isolated thunderstorms are a slight risk ahead of the front. No severe thunderstorms.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK
Friday: High pressure is likely to develop over Western Australia. The strong cold front should move over western districts during the morning and then reach the east later in the day. The low pressure system should have dissipated. Isolated thunderstorms are possible ahead and with the front. No severe activity.
Saturday: A new high pressure system will remain west of Western Australia, extending over the inland parts of that state. Its likely that another cold front will move over the west later in the day. A strong low is also likely to develop west of Tasmania. Isolated thunderstorms are possible with and following the front over the south. No severe thunderstorms.
Sunday: High pressure will be south and west of Western Australia. It is likely a strong low pressure system will move somewhere near Tasmania, extending a huge load of moisture over the state. The cold front will also move over remaining parts of the state. Isolated thunderstorms are possible anywhere generally, but mostly in the south, contracting eastwards later in the day. No severe thunderstorms.
Monday: The high pressure system will extend over the Australian mainland. It is likely the low pressure system will move to southeast of Tasmania, not affecting Victoria. A new cut-off low pressure system could develop to the southwest of Victoria during the day. Isolated thunderstorms remain a slight risk over the Gippsland coast at first, and if the second low develops thunderstorms would be possible across the southwest. No severe thunderstorms.
Tuesday: The high pressure system will remain over the Australian mainland, and also extend into the Great Australian Bight. The cut-off low if developed, will move to eastern Victoria. Isolated thunderstorms would be possible from that. No severe thunderstorms.
Wednesday: The high pressure system should remain over the Australian mainland and extend into the Great Australian Bight and south of Tasmania. The low or disturbance near Victoria should have contracted out of the state. No thunderstorms expected.
Thursday: The high pressure system over the Great Australian Bight will dominate. No thunderstorms.
Victoria, Australia
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL OUTLOOK
Updated at: 7:34pm
Thursday Evening: The high pressure system will remain in the Tasman Sea and near New Zealand. A low pressure system is expected to continue moving steadily SE from the Great Australian Bight tonight, but should dissipate overnight. A cold front is approaching Victoria and will move in early Friday. Isolated thunderstorms are a slight risk this evening over the southwest. No severe thunderstorms.
Friday: High pressure is likely to develop west of Western Australia. The strong cold front should move over western districts during the morning and then reach the east later in the day. The low pressure system should have dissipated. Isolated thunderstorms are possible ahead and with the front. No severe activity.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK
Saturday: The new high pressure system will remain west of Western Australia, extending over the inland parts of that state. Its likely that a new low pressure system will develop over eastern parts of the Great Australian Bight, and it will extend a strong cold front into western Victoria later in the day and at night. Isolated thunderstorms are possible anywhere, mostly in the southwest. No severe thunderstorms.
Sunday: High pressure will be south and west of Western Australia. It is likely a strong low pressure system will move to the area near or over the northwest coast of Tasmania. The cold front will also move over remaining parts of the state during the day. Isolated thunderstorms are possible anywhere generally, but mostly in the south, contracting eastwards later in the day. No severe thunderstorms.
Monday: The high pressure system will extend over the Australian mainland. It is likely the low pressure system will move to southeast of Tasmania, not affecting Victoria. A new cut-off low pressure system could develop to the southwest of Victoria during the day. No thunderstorms are expected at this stage, however isolated thunderstorms may be a slight risk in the southwest at night. No severe thunderstorms.
Tuesday: The high pressure system will remain over the Australian mainland, and also extend into the Great Australian Bight. The front is expected to move across the remainder of the state. Isolated thunderstorms would be possible from that. No severe thunderstorms.
Wednesday: The high pressure system should remain over the Australian mainland and extend into the Great Australian Bight. A disturbance is expected over eastern Victoria. No thunderstorms expected.
Thursday: The high pressure system will move over the southeast of the continent. No thunderstorms.
Friday: The high pressure system will remain stationary. No thunderstorms.
Victoria, Australia
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL OUTLOOK
Updated at: 10:34pm
Friday Evening: High pressure is likely to develop west of Western Australia. The cold front is moving out of Victoria. ISolated thunderstorms are possible, mostly in the southwest and northeast. No severe storms.
Saturday: The new high pressure system will remain west of Western Australia, extending over the inland parts of that state. Its likely that a new low pressure system will develop over eastern parts of the Great Australian Bight and west of Tasmania, and it will extend a strong cold front into western Victoria during the day. Isolated thunderstorms are possible anywhere, mostly in the southwest. No severe thunderstorms.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK
Sunday: High pressure will be south and west of Western Australia. It is likely a strong low pressure system will move to the area near or over the northwest coast of Tasmania. The cold front will also move over remaining parts of the state during the day. Isolated thunderstorms are possible anywhere generally, but mostly in the south, contracting eastwards later in the day. No severe thunderstorms.
Monday: The high pressure system will extend over the Australian mainland. It is likely the low pressure system will move to southeast of Tasmania, not affecting Victoria. An unstable southwest aistream is likely. No thunderstorms.
Tuesday: The high pressure system will remain over the Australian mainland. A cut-off low pressure system could possibly develop over the state, otherwise a cold front is likely to move into the western areas later in the day. Isolated thunderstorms would be possible from that. No severe thunderstorms.
Wednesday: The high pressure system should remain over the Australian mainland and extend into the Great Australian Bight. A low could be near Victoria and the front will move away from the state. No thunderstorms expected.
Thursday: The high pressure system will move over the southeast of the continent. No thunderstorms.
Friday: The high pressure system will remain stationary. No thunderstorms.
Saturday: The high pressure system is expected to generally remain stationary. No thunderstorms.
However, netweather says a 35% chance of a thunderstorm tomorrow.
This may well be "downgraded" again though. We shall see. I am too scared to look at the next forecast update!! I will just let it take me by surprise.
This may well be "downgraded" again though. We shall see. I am too scared to look at the next forecast update!! I will just let it take me by surprise.
Possible for us tonight, but they say scattered??? Isn't it scattered showers, I'm not sure I've heard it in connection with thunderstorms maybe a Wisconsin thing.
Its the same term susancruzs. 'Scattered showers' and 'scattered thunderstorms' both means tere will be a 'few' around. Whilst isolated means 'one or two'. Widespread should be obvious.
Victoria, Australia
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL OUTLOOK
Updated at: 6:06pm
Saturday Evening: The high pressure system will remain west of Western Australia, extending over the inland parts of that state. A low will remain west of Tasmania tonight, strengthening overnight. Isolated thunderstorms remain a high risk across all areas of the state, and some are currently being observed over the northern and central districts, and earlier this afternoon thunderstorms developed over the southwest. The Bureau of meteorology has also issued a severe thunderstorm warning - damaging winds, large hailstones and flash flooding is the biggest concern.
Sunday: High pressure will be south and west of Western Australia. It is likely a strong low pressure system will move over Tasmania, extending into Victoria. The cold front will also move out of the state. Isolated cold-cored thunderstorms are possible anywhere generally, but mostly in the south where large hailstones may develop thanks to the freezing level lowering to 5,000ft.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK
Monday: The high pressure system will extend over the Australian mainland. It is likely the low pressure system will move to southeast of Tasmania, not affecting Victoria, however a low pressure trough will move into the west of the state. Isolated thunderstorms remain possible, mostly in the south. No severe thunderstorms
Tuesday: The high pressure system will remain over the Australian mainland, extending into the Great Australian Bight and Victoria with a ridge. The trough should have moved out of the state. No thunderstorms are expected.
Wednesday: The high pressure system should remain over the Australian mainland and extend into the Great Australian Bight. A cut-off low should develop south of the state. Isolated thunderstorms become another good possibility through the state, particularly south. Small risk for severe thunderstorms.
Thursday: The high pressure system will move over the southeast of the continent. The low should have been pushed away from Victoria. No thunderstorms.
Friday: The high pressure system will remain over New South Wales and the Tasman Sea. A weak cold front is likely to move into the state during the day. No thunderstorms.
Saturday: Another high pressure system will move into the Great Australian Bight, extending a ridge over Victoria. No thunderstorms.
Sunday: Models are diverging for Sunday. The most likely scenario is for a high pressure system to remain stationary in the Great Australian Bight as some type of dusturbance developed near Victoria. No thunderstorms at this stage.
NEXT UPDATE: Sunday, 5:00pm-7:00pm
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Isn't it scattered showers, I'm not sure I've heard it in connection with thunderstorms maybe a Wisconsin thing.
