Possible development of El Nino in late '09..thoughts?? (tornadoes, recorded, nights)

[GraniteStater]

Originally Posted by marmac

I don't know if it was an --El Nino--or a --La Nina-- that was responsible for the devastating drought in 1988 in MN.

It forced me financially to sell my dairy herd and return to the workplace.
( re-started dairy farming 5 years later)


Don't want to see the one that caused that devastation to Minnesota to visit again.

Here is the data that should be helpful to you. The cold episode looks to have started in mid 1988, and continued into early 1989. What region of MN are you located in? .
Climate Prediction Center - Monitoring & Data: ENSO Impacts on the U.S. - Previous Events
http://climate.umn.edu/pdf/drought88.pdf

GraniteStater

[si33]

..Just thought id update,..looks like La Nina will continue into the spring, with the potential expansion of drought conditions in both Florida and Texas..as we go into March and April..

[Power Storm]

Yes we are now in La Nina thresholds too and its causing wetter than normal conditions over here in Australia. If it persists for the next several months it will be officially declared La Nina here.

[§AB]

La Crapper is well and truly established, bringing awful weather here, current temps are around 3ºC below the long term averages with lots of cloud and cold freezing conditions.

PLEASE LET THERE BE AN EL NINO NEXT SUMMER!!!!!! PLEASE!!!

[si33]

..I hope so also...Looks like we will have one of the driest, if not the driest Januarys on record here in CA.. i also doubt that we are going to see all that much rain between now and April either...

..And if our 9 days of 70+ degree temps. this month are a hint, it's gonna be a very long, very hot summer ahead, with severe water restrictions..and many more fires then we experienced here last summer...

Then again,..we'll just have to wait and see...

[dxiweodwo]

La Nina means about average temps and waaaaaay above normal precipitation for the East....I hope that happens.....


I wouldn't take anything Accuweather says to heart.....last year they predicted a dry, warm winter for a lot of the U.S....and well, you saw what happened to that, right?

[si33]

..Oh of course not..just interesting that "talk" of another one has started..and that some interesting signals have recently been peeking up every so often off of South America..compared to this time last year...

For me to really start believing..i'll have to see a dramatic uptick in Hurricane development off of Western Mexico and a stronger, more sustained monsoonal pattern set up over CA. and the South Western states come summer...last year was kind of weak..which is fairly normal during La Nina cycles..or at least from what ive observed...

...The Monsoon season around an El Nino cycle seems to waft a few rare summer showers or Electrical storms up our way..a welcome break in our bone dry summers..brief as it might be..

[susancruzs]

I'm thinking with the winter we are having, we're going to have a corker of a summer! Doesn't one usually follow the other???

[si33]

..You may be right..most of the NOAA maps looking out to the summer months seem to suggest that most of the nation will swelter..but you know how those things go..just have the iced tea and lemonade ready

[GraniteStater]

We never swelter in the summer around here. The average low in the month of July around here is 58F.