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Old 10-15-2009, 06:03 PM
 
Location: Iowa
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I think I like this outlook posted today from NOAA:

NOAA - National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration - NOAA: El Niño to Help Steer U.S. Winter Weather
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Old 10-15-2009, 06:37 PM
 
Location: New York
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I'm in Equal Chance but I'm about 20 miles away from the "cool" boundary, maybe we'll be significantly warmer than them lol.

But it's a long-range forecast so nothing is set in stone .
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Old 10-15-2009, 06:47 PM
 
Location: Iowa
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Yeah, very true! In fact, when you go down to the bottom of the page they say this seasonal outlook does not predict where and when storms may hit or amounts of snow as they can't be predicted but a few days in advance!
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Old 10-15-2009, 06:58 PM
 
Location: God's Country
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I hope this happens since hit has Houston cooler than usual!
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Old 10-15-2009, 07:01 PM
 
Location: USA
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I must have missed something equal chances of what
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Old 10-15-2009, 07:24 PM
 
Location: Iowa
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When you follow the link I posted to the NOAA website, there is an article there detailing the maps. Equal chances means for either above or below normal, I think.
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Old 10-15-2009, 10:22 PM
 
Location: Midwest
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Here is Joe Bastardi's prediction:
Greg Simmons: UPDATED 2009-2010 Winter Forecast - Accuweather

Hopefully these predictions from Bastardi and the NOAA come true.
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Old 10-15-2009, 10:46 PM
 
Location: Perth, Western Australia
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The map to me means there could be no reason to visit Florida this winter.
(When we go, we look forward to 70+ F and sunshine )

Even HAWAII is in the 40% cooler range;
definitely not worth a plane-ticket this winter, imho.
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Old 10-16-2009, 12:01 AM
 
Location: Seattle area
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Old 10-16-2009, 08:30 AM
 
Location: Perth, Western Australia
9,589 posts, read 27,808,501 times
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That's odd, Hawaii's forecast is both 40% cooler and 40% drier.

As for the southernmost trace of the lower 48,
none of it looks appealing to me with above-average rainfall across the board.
I don't doubt that it's "needed rain", just it'd make for a crumbier vacation, imho.
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