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Old 04-05-2018, 06:15 PM
 
1,986 posts, read 713,904 times
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Recently Pakistan overtook Brazil to take up the fifth spot.
Both Ethiopia and the Philippines have passed the 100 million mark.

Here are mine:

Indonesia will overtake the US in the near future
Due to Japan's decline, Mexico will surpass it soon
I fully expect both Egypt and Vietnam to cross over into the 100 million territory soon
Nigeria and Bangladesh will be the next ones to hit the 200 million mark
India will become the most populated nation in the next 20 years.
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Old 04-05-2018, 07:20 PM
 
Location: Casca - Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil
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Nigeria will soon overtake Brazil too. Then Brazil is going to stay in the 7th position at least for some decades, i guess.

Iran will overtake Germany anytime, if it didn't already overtake.
Argentina will soon overtake Spain.
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Old 04-05-2018, 07:47 PM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by EduardoFinatto View Post
Nigeria will soon overtake Brazil too. Then Brazil is going to stay in the 7th position at least for some decades, i guess.

Iran will overtake Germany anytime, if it didn't already overtake.
Argentina will soon overtake Spain.
I can see Nigeria overtaking Brazil. Maybe Bangladesh will as well. Both Iran and Turkey will likely surpass Germany in the near future as they are hovering around the 80 mark.

There's also the DRC which is growing at a rapid rate and currently has about 78 million.
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Old 04-05-2018, 09:19 PM
 
Location: Paris, Īle-de-France, France / Terre Haute, IN
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The population of Turkey will surpass Germany's in the early next decade.
France and United Kingdom will hit 70 million marks in 15 years.
Canada will likely catch South Korea's in the middle of the century.
Japan won't fall below 100 million as what many studies predict in the end of the century.
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Old 04-05-2018, 10:47 PM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tenkier7 View Post
The population of Turkey will surpass Germany's in the early next decade.
France and United Kingdom will hit 70 million marks in 15 years.
Canada will likely catch South Korea's in the middle of the century.
Japan won't fall below 100 million as what many studies predict in the end of the century.
Not too sure about Japan's case.
I know that there was a study conducted in South Korea that determined that if current trends continue, South Koreans will become extinct by the 2700's.
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Old 04-06-2018, 02:51 AM
 
Location: the dairyland
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Milky Way Resident View Post
Not too sure about Japan's case.
I know that there was a study conducted in South Korea that determined that if current trends continue, South Koreans will become extinct by the 2700's.
Because trends continue for 700 years? Population projections over such a long time are just a look into the crystal ball. Anything can happen, even in a short amount of time so we will never know until it happens.
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Old 04-06-2018, 05:18 PM
 
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Originally Posted by Rob702 View Post
Because trends continue for 700 years? Population projections over such a long time are just a look into the crystal ball. Anything can happen, even in a short amount of time so we will never know until it happens.
I'm not the one conducting the study. Of course these projections are asinine if taken at face value. They nevertheless show the dangers of depopulation over a long time period. South Korea has been going downhill for a while.
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Old 04-06-2018, 11:22 PM
 
Location: Paris, Īle-de-France, France / Terre Haute, IN
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Yeah I've seen the article a while ago... didn't take seriously though.
Fertility rates affect related to economic and social systems, so we do not know how the trend will change even in the next few years, just roughly estimated.
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Old 04-07-2018, 05:04 PM
 
Location: Cebu, Philippines
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You will rarely be wrong if you predict that a country with a poor economy will grow in population faster than one with a strong economy. In a poor country, more children are an asset, who can help the family produced food and income and provide security in old aged. In a rich country, more children are a liability, because it requires cash to buy things that are needed in an industrialized society. So, naturally, as a country gets richer, the people stop having babies.

All you need to predict a nation's population growth is to know its wealth development potential. For example, Indonesia's population expansion will stop growing before Bangladesh or Nigeria do, because Indonesia is taking longer strides into wealth development.
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Old 04-07-2018, 08:01 PM
 
Location: Seattle WA, USA
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top 20 countries in 2010

1. China: 1,339,724,852
2. India: 1,182,105,564
3. USA: 309,349,689
4. Indonesia: 237,641,326
5. Brazil: 193,252,604
6. Pakistan: 173,510,000
7. Nigeria: 158,258,917
8. Bangladesh: 148,600,000
9. Russia: 142, 849,472
10. Japan: 128,056,000
11. Mexico: 112,336,538
12. Philippines: 94,013,200
13. Vietnam: 86,932,500
14. Ethiopia: 83,483,000
15. Germany: 81,802,257
16. Egypt: 78,728,000
17. Iran: 74,733,230
18. Turkey: 73,722,988
19. D.R.Congo: 67,827,496
20. Thailand: 63,878,267

Top 20 countries in 2018 (unless otherwise specified)
1. China: 1,390,210,000
2. 1,330,140,000
3. USA: 326,921,000
4. Indonesia: 261,890,900 (2017)
5. Pakistan: 211,158,000
6. Brazil: 208,885,000
7. Nigeria: 193,392,500 (2016)
8. Bangladesh: 164,287,000
9. Russia: 146,877,088
10. Japan: 126,520,000
11. Mexico: 123,982,528 (2017)
12. Philippines: 105,688,000
13. Egypt: 96,750,100
14. Ethiopia: 94,352,000 (2017)
15. Vietnam: 93,700,000 (2017)
16. Germany: 82,576,900 (2017)
17. D.R.Congo: 81,399,900 (2017)
18. Iran: 81,350,400
19. Turkey: 80,810,525 (2017)
20. Thailand: 68,860,000 (2016)
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