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Old 02-10-2021, 04:32 PM
 
8,437 posts, read 7,738,330 times
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China already had a lower birth rate than the US and some western European countries. Year 2020 made it even worse.

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According to figures published by the Ministry of Public Security this week, there were 10.03 million new babies registered in 2020, compared to 11.79 million the year before -- a decrease of 14.9%. The news comes as last year, China recorded the lowest birthrate since the People's Republic was founded in 1949.

https://www.cnn.com/2021/02/09/asia/...hnk/index.html
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Old Yesterday, 09:37 PM
 
4,182 posts, read 3,076,525 times
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I read that it is the lowest since the beginning of the Cultural Revolution.

I also heard that by 2100, the entire demographics of the world could be stood on their head, as China might lose up to half of its population, and the United states may increase up to 450 million as a result of immigration.
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Old Today, 02:22 AM
 
Location: Forest bathing
2,549 posts, read 1,532,351 times
Reputation: 5644
Quote:
Originally Posted by cachibatches View Post
I read that it is the lowest since the beginning of the Cultural Revolution.

I also heard that by 2100, the entire demographics of the world could be stood on their head, as China might lose up to half of its population, and the United states may increase up to 450 million as a result of immigration.
I sure hope not. There did you hear this? Sources, links, please. Thank-you.
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Old Today, 02:39 AM
 
Location: Prepperland
15,235 posts, read 11,026,660 times
Reputation: 11982
Quote:
Originally Posted by cachibatches View Post
I read that it is the lowest since the beginning of the Cultural Revolution.

I also heard that by 2100, the entire demographics of the world could be stood on their head, as China might lose up to half of its population, and the United states may increase up to 450 million as a result of immigration.
If the USA dumps socialism (genocidal), it would probably return to its old doubling rate of 50 years. At that rate, the 2100 AD population would be 4x that of 2000 AD (282.2 million), or roughly 1.126 billion.

Otherwise:
POP POPULATION
2000 AD : 282.2 million
2020 AD : 331.0 million (17.3 % increase)
2040 AD : 388.2 million (if same increase)
2080 AD : 455.3 million " "
2100 AD : 534.1 million " "
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Old Today, 02:43 AM
 
Location: Taipei
7,620 posts, read 6,039,015 times
Reputation: 5405
A developing country with a lower birth rate than developed countries. Isn't that just wonderful? Not to mention the gender ratio. And people think this country has a bright future? Lmao, give me a break.
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Old Today, 06:21 AM
 
Location: Guangzhou, China
10,565 posts, read 14,498,309 times
Reputation: 12073
It's just too expensive for the average young person to raise kids here. The cost and competition for even moderately good schools, the cost of real estate relative to income in the second-and-up tier cities where most work is, the antiquated and stupid hukou system, the expectation that parents will buy children (especially boys) housing, etc all add up to it just not being tenable to an increasing number of people. I've heard it said that the ultimate accessory to show your wealth in Shanghai, Beijing, or Shenzhen aren't LV handbags, watches, luxury cars, or even nice apartments: it's having more than one kid... We are moving back to the US in large part because of the education situation here.

The gender imbalance further complicates things. A few of my local friends have said that, in an inversion of the situation since the 80's, they worry about having a son because for him to stand above the rest of the tens of millions of boys who are competing for a smaller pool of girls, they will need to invest excess amounts to give him a leg up... Or, move abroad.

I've also met more and more people in their 30's on down who are intensely apathetic and cynical; Chinese society and social media frowns upon putting this on display in the same way that you see in the West but I see a much bigger undercurrent than what most media is letting on. I think that the surge in anti-govt rhetoric that suddenly came and went early on in the pandemic when things were in disarray point to a broader, underlying discontent than most people realize or are willing to acknowledge. Absent some very massive fundamental changes, I don't think the birthrate will improve any time soon.
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