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ON: Complete Horse___, RE: Machine Superintelligence is One of the Greatest Threats Facing Humans Today

Posted 07-10-2018 at 06:47 PM by Blondebaerde


Quote:
Originally Posted by Wittgenstein's Ghost View Post
Superintelligent machines are machines that are smarter than humans. A recent survey of relevant experts found the average prediction was that such machines would exist in about 40 years.

At the point, known as the singularity, that machines do in fact become smarter than humans, it will be the first time in the human history that we are not the smartest things on planet earth. Almost all of our success on this earth is attributable to our comparatively high intelligence. The reason we could easily make lions go extinct, but they could not do the same to us, is that we are significantly smarter than they are. Once the singularity happens, we might find ourselves in a similar position as the lions with respect to a greater intelligence.

There are various hypotheses on how quickly superintelligent machines will continue to gain intelligence, but it seems very possible that we could at some point find ourselves significantly less intelligent than the most intelligent machines. The average human IQ is 100. What if we are only 100 years away from the existence of machines with an IQ of 300? The threat to humanity seems obvious, and most of the leading researchers on this topic believe it is imperative that we solve the question of how we can get these machines to value the right things before we actually have the capability of producing such machines.

As such, I think the issue of machine intelligence is one of the greatest threats to humanity in existence today. We should be devoting resources to figuring out how to get machines that are smarter than ourselves to value the right things. This should be a major political topic, and leading world governments should be cooperating in solving this problem before it is too late.

Edit to add: It is also possible that machine superintelligence could solve many of the world's greatest problems. This issue doesn't necessarily have a negative outcome. If we can get these machines to value the right things, this intelligence shift could be one of the greatest moments in the history of the world.
Scathing anger...

Please cite peer-reviewed papers specifying that machines will become "self aware" and pass Turing tests (and way, way beyond) "within 40 years." Wasn't referenced by OP. I find that a spurious date. Caveat: I work for a management consultancy, one of our specialties is cutting-edge AI. I've had some fascinating conversations with those who actually know what they are talking about in modern AI theory. Each conversation around this results in an eye-roll and "who the hell knows", aka quack science w/o objective analysis and proof. No one knows what the threashold of self-awareness, or even consciousness, truly means.

There is no such thing as "an IQ of 300," the scale is a bell curve from zero (0) to two hundred (200) with 100 as by-definition the median. You might want to use phrases like "standard deviations (above, below) the mean" to illustrate the point with more clarity. Sooo...what exactly are you talking about?

Thirdly, what is the "obvious" threat of superintelligent machines? Were it obvious, we'd all know what it is. It is not. Is your question a function of ethics, or lack-of, in a hypothetical "super intelligence?"

Suggest this should be moved to the Quack Science section, next to UFOs and Bigfoot sightings, please.
Posted in Angry
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