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Old 04-12-2017, 03:03 PM
6,704 posts, read 6,315,645 times
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A key matchup in the upcoming 2018 Georgia Governor's race figures to be a possible (if not likely) face-off between Georgia Secretary of State Brian Kemp and sitting Lt. Governor Casey Cagle in the GOP Primary.

Secretary Kemp was the first (and so far, only) candidate to announce his participation in the governor's race and has signaled that he wants to run a populist campaign with nationalistic themes that will be heavily oriented towards the downscale rural voters that carried President Donald Trump to victory both in Georgia and nationally in the 2016 Presidential race.

Lt. Governor Cagle is likely to run a more conventional mainstream campaign whose themes will be aimed at a broader cross-section of the state's population (including the state's business community, more moderate voters in metro Atlanta (particularly in the metro Atlanta suburbs), moderate and centrist-leaning voters in general and possibly even some progressive voters).

From Rob Oldham of GeorgiaPol.com:
Brian Kemp and Casey Cagle are two Republicans who are definitely running for governor next year. Other possible contenders include Speaker of the House David Ralston, state senators Michael Williams, Hunter Hill, Josh McKoon, and Burt Jones, state representative Allen Peake, former congressmen Lynn Westmoreland and Jack Kingston, and political operative Nick Ayers. I will update this list as announcements become more likely. Expect a rundown of the Democrats soon.

Brian Kemp: The only announced candidate so far. The Athens Republican has served as secretary of state since he was appointed by Sonny Perdue ahead of the 2010 elections (he was running for secretary of state at the time of his appointment). He served as a state senator from 2003 to 2007 and ran unsuccessfully for agriculture commissioner in 2006. He is a small business owner and is involved in the construction industry.

Early indications are that Kemp might be pursuing a Trump-like strategy, announcing his campaign slogan as “Georgia First.” In his announcement at a Cobb County GOP meeting, Kemp hit on some of the themes that Trump did in 2016: cracking down on illegal immigration, reaching out to rural voters who have been bypassed by globalization, and fighting the “political establishment” at the State Capitol. Like Trump, Kemp is probably trying to rack up rural votes to make up for weaknesses in metro Atlanta...

Casey Cagle: He has signed his papers to run and is expected to make an announcement soon. Georgia’s long-serving lieutenant governor has been eyeing the governor’s office since he withdrew from the 2010 gubernatorial race due to a spinal condition. He is already staffing his campaign and will be the front-runner when he joins. Cagle has a long history in state government, serving as a state senator from Gainesville from 1995 to 2007 and then as lieutenant governor from 2007 to the present.

Cagle was the first Republican to serve as lieutenant governor of Georgia; however, his tenure has been somewhat controversial. In 2010, leaders of the Republican-controlled Senate (including current Majority Leader Bill Cowsert) stripped Cagle of his ability to control committee leadership, the most important power of the lieutenant governor. The senators complained that Cagle was not consulting the caucus before agreeing to support proposals such as Sonny Perdue’s bed tax. Eventually, Cagle regained his committee assignment power, but he has since been aware that he serves at the pleasure of the state senate.

He will likely base his campaign on education reform. He recently wrote Education Unleashed, a book that details his plan to put public education under local control. He has been an advocate for charter schools and career-based education, including apprenticeships and career academies. Cagle has also shown a desire to go outside the establishment box (somewhat) and pursue the same voters that were drawn to Donald Trump. He has spoken about the need to have political outsiders like Trump, provided that they work with political insiders like himself. He also struck a populist(ish) chord in his speech at the 2017 Eggs and Issues breakfast hosted by the Georgia Chamber of Commerce.
"A Preview of the 2018 GOP Gubernatorial Primary: Kemp vs. Cagle" (GeorgiaPol.com)
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Old 04-12-2017, 03:25 PM
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This may be a Republican primary race...races which traditionally tend to be dominated by more conservative voters (like deeply-conservative Republican base voters).

But with much (if not most) of the strength of the governor's race and the strongest field of contenders in the race being on the Republican side of the ledger in a state that is currently dominated by the Republican Party...moderate, independent and progressive voters will be strongly encouraged to participate in Republican Party primary voting in 2018 Georgia races...particularly in races for important statewide offices like Governor, Lt. Governor, Attorney General, Secretary of State, U.S. Senator, etc.
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Old 04-12-2017, 03:26 PM
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Im for whoever wants to expand heavy rail throughout our region and will veto any religious bill bs
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Old 04-12-2017, 04:22 PM
Location: Atlanta, GA
10,137 posts, read 4,204,918 times
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Looks like I'll be voting for Cagle then.

Since Georgia has open primaries I think it behooves some liberals to vote R in the primaries to try and moderate the candidate that we end up with (who will obviously win the general).
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Old 04-12-2017, 05:14 PM
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I really don't want to vote for Cagle but will in the primary if our other choice is some Trump wannabe.

What kind of strategy is that, anyway? It's likely that Trump will be incredibly unpopular by 2018, considering that his administration keeps shambling from one failure to the next. It's like trying to emulate George W. Bush in 2008.
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Old 04-12-2017, 05:40 PM
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^Well, I'm sure there will be plenty of Republican candidates who aren't concerned about women's health. Don't worry.
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Old 04-12-2017, 05:42 PM
Location: Seattle
6,550 posts, read 3,975,634 times
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Given our options here, I hope Cagle wins, and ends up at least as moderate as Deal, with a MARTA overhaul/ funding/ expansion/ whatever, and no "religious freedom" BS or anything even remotely like that. Nothing that makes national news.

Then after his one or two terms, I hope the demographics have shifted enough by that point that either a Democrat wins, or a very moderate Republican. And I hope somebody does the damn Medicaid expansion which the citizens overwhelmingly want.

Compared to our shameful past, Georgia hopefully should have a bright future.
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Old 04-12-2017, 07:25 PM
30,402 posts, read 28,579,561 times
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Originally Posted by primaltech View Post
...Nothing that makes national news.
That is a great way of framing the standard, primal. Please just keep us from being one of the jackass states.

And that's not easy in Georgia.
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Old 04-12-2017, 07:51 PM
1,509 posts, read 480,472 times
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Whoever pushes casinos through I'm in
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Old 04-12-2017, 10:05 PM
Location: Atlanta
5,243 posts, read 4,973,523 times
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If Cagle runs as Deal 2.0 I think he will be successful. I hope we have more to choose from
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