Will the 2010 Census Reveal an Increase or Decrease in "White Atlanta"? (Marietta: live in)

[RedwoodForest]

I am studying the demographic trends of the City of Atlanta. Just pondering what Atlantans think the 2010 Census results will report upon their release in December.

Please answer these three questions:

1.) Will the percentage of Caucasians in the City of Atlanta show an increase, decrease, or no change from the 2008 estimate of 38.4%?

2.) Make an educated guess (guesstimate) on the actual percentage that Caucasians will make up in the 2010 results (i.e. 30%, 35%, etc.).

3.) Briefly explain why you think the Caucasian percentage will increase, decrease, or stay the same.

Thank you in advance for your time!


Note: I know the wording can be very confusing, but I am inquiring into the census results only for the City of Atlanta, not the Atlanta-Sandy-Springs-Marietta Metropolitan Area (also known as "Metro Atlanta").

[DeaconJ]

Originally Posted by RedwoodForest

I am studying the demographic trends of the City of Atlanta. Just pondering what Atlantans think the 2010 Census results will report upon their release in December.

Please answer these three questions:

1.) Will the percentage of Caucasians in the City of Atlanta show an increase, decrease, or no change from the 2008 estimate of 38.4%?

2.) Make an educated guess (guesstimate) on the actual percentage that Caucasians will make up in the 2010 results (i.e. 30%, 35%, etc.).

3.) Briefly explain why you think the Caucasian percentage will increase, decrease, or stay the same.

Thank you in advance for your time!


Note: I know the wording can be very confusing, but I am inquiring into the census results only for the City of Atlanta, not the Atlanta-Sandy-Springs-Marietta Metropolitan Area (also known as "Metro Atlanta").

I have seen predictions that the white population of the city would continue to increase, but I don't think it has continued at the same pace as before...I think it slowed down a bit from previous years.

If it was 38.4% in 2008, it could possibly be 40% in 2010.

I think that the percentage of white residents is increasing due to an infulx of new white residents coupled with "black flight" to the suburbs. But I would assume that the numbers of people moving (all colors) has slowed down considerably.

[waronxmas]

It'll increase, but not in any significant way that is out line with the recent trend of the last 10 years.

If I were to make a prediction, the white population will continue to increase in the city proper...but over the next 10 years, latinos will out pace them percentage wise in the growth department.

[ATLHRLGUY]

I know this thread is a couple of months old but I just wanted to share this illustration.

Flickr Photo Download: Tom Toles on Gentrification, 1998 (http://www.flickr.com/photos/rllayman/95438294/sizes/o/ - broken link)

With intown prices rising, getting rid of all public housing, energy costs doomed to rise,(we all know the havoc that broke out a few years ago when no one had gas) public transit and traffic issues, I see Atlanta as the leader of this "trend." I use quotes b/c I think there's more permanence this time, people that have the means (regardless of color)and want to move back into the city will stay this time.

[Soulchild23]

I dont think it will increase. Most likely stay the same

[mike1986]

I thought it was increasing, but maybe not. Judging from my experience at Piedmont Park yesterday, I'd say it was 80-90% full of black people. It was kind of disappointing. I'd feel the same way if it were 80-90% white people too. It would be nice to see more diversity within the city of Atlanta, instead of it being dominated by one race. There was also some riff raff in Piedmont Park too, which was I wasn't expecting for such a nice park.

[Iconographer]

Originally Posted by mike1986

I thought it was increasing, but maybe not. Judging from my experience at Piedmont Park yesterday, I'd say it was 80-90% full of black people. It was kind of disappointing. I'd feel the same way if it were 80-90% white people too. It would be nice to see more diversity within the city of Atlanta, instead of it being dominated by one race. There was also some riff raff in Piedmont Park too, which was I wasn't expecting for such a nice park.

I think the degree of presence (or absence) of a particular race at Piedmont Park often has to do with the organized events that are scheduled there; intermural sports events, festivals, reunions, etc.
I've been there on recent occasions when the park felt majority black, majority white or about even. Generally, it has a very diverse feel to it IME.

[ApostolicFlightAttendant]

Originally Posted by mike1986

I thought it was increasing, but maybe not. Judging from my experience at Piedmont Park yesterday, I'd say it was 80-90% full of black people. It was kind of disappointing. I'd feel the same way if it were 80-90% white people too. It would be nice to see more diversity within the city of Atlanta, instead of it being dominated by one race. There was also some riff raff in Piedmont Park too, which was I wasn't expecting for such a nice park.

Side bar, Sunday's at Piedmont Park have notoriously been a "gay day at the park" for African Americans that live in the Atlanta area. Thats why you saw so many African Americans. Try going to Piedmond park any day other than Sunday and you will see the racial diversity. TRUST ME!

[Iconographer]

Originally Posted by DeaconJ

I have seen predictions that the white population of the city would continue to increase, but I don't think it has continued at the same pace as before...I think it slowed down a bit from previous years.

If it was 38.4% in 2008, it could possibly be 40% in 2010.

I think that the percentage of white residents is increasing due to an infulx of new white residents coupled with "black flight" to the suburbs. But I would assume that the numbers of people moving (all colors) has slowed down considerably.

This sounds about right to me...I think you'll see a small net increase, but no more for the reasons Deacon cites.

[Soulchild23]

Originally Posted by mike1986

I thought it was increasing, but maybe not. Judging from my experience at Piedmont Park yesterday, I'd say it was 80-90% full of black people. It was kind of disappointing. I'd feel the same way if it were 80-90% white people too. It would be nice to see more diversity within the city of Atlanta, instead of it being dominated by one race. There was also some riff raff in Piedmont Park too, which was I wasn't expecting for such a nice park.

If you went on sunday then there were alot of people with a black completion doesnt men everyone out there was african american And it was probably alot of Gay black lesbians and males out there. Also every Caucasin you see doesnt mean there white american.. I go skating in piedmont all the time and there is always different types of people there during the week. Wait till green on the screen starts next week you will see everyone come together. Plus you cant make a assumption based of the small number in a park and say oh the whole city is 90 percent black, Thats a lil over the top