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Old 11-15-2011, 06:24 AM
 
7,742 posts, read 15,087,187 times
Reputation: 4295

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Ladylonghorn posted that she bought her house for 280K pre recession and now comparable houses are selling for 230K.

I remember having a discussion with austin-steve pre recession about what austin prices would do.

Here is a map which compares prices from 2007 vs 2010 by zipcode

http://www.regentpg.com/images/Price...s_2010.png.jpg

Here is where I mentioned that recession was coming in 4/2007 (not my idea, I get economic forecasts)
//www.city-data.com/forum/austi...-projects.html

Here is one of the original discussions from 2009 about austin pricess (austin-steve mentioned 3-5% declines)
//www.city-data.com/forum/austi...ce-year-5.html

Last edited by Austin97; 11-15-2011 at 06:44 AM..
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Old 11-15-2011, 07:07 AM
 
Location: Austin, TX!!!!
3,757 posts, read 9,044,256 times
Reputation: 1762
I'm sort of chuckling at the guy in the other thread the warned you it would never be less downtown and then asked you to print the thread out in a few years. So a drop of 8%? It's pretty gracious of you to not just come out and say "I told you so!"

Our neighborhood shows a 4% drop. I'm wondering what the drop has been since 2009 when we purchased.
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Old 11-15-2011, 07:34 AM
 
70 posts, read 83,393 times
Reputation: 116
Thanks for posting this. We are moving to Austin but just in the beginning of looking around. I've been busy studying my Austin map and reading about the neighborhoods as well as traffic patterns. It seems to boil down to whether we will look north (DH works near 183/Ranch road intersection) or closer to town. I don't like cookie-cutter homes and strip shopping. Prefer trees and older architectural style, hence my interest in the 78756 and 78751 zip codes.

This map comparing 2007 and 2010 home prices leads me to believe that the farther north you go, the more the home prices have remained stable. Yet when I look online, it appears that there are more REOs and foreclosures up north (and more listings in general). I wonder if the northern zips have just not bottomed out yet?
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Old 11-15-2011, 07:50 AM
 
Location: Austin
7,244 posts, read 21,755,019 times
Reputation: 10014
This information is meaningless if you actually compare sales. Larger homes get less per sqft than smaller homes, and many areas are building significantly larger homes today than they were just a few years ago, but lot sizes stay about the same so land value is equal. Dollar per sqft is a VERY uneducated way to post information.
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Old 11-15-2011, 08:04 AM
 
Location: SW Austin & Wimberley
6,333 posts, read 18,022,037 times
Reputation: 5532
Quote:
Originally Posted by Austin97 View Post
Ladylonghorn posted that she bought her house for 280K pre recession and now comparable houses are selling for 230K.

I remember having a discussion with austin-steve pre recession about what austin prices would do.

Here is a map which compares prices from 2007 vs 2010 by zipcode

http://www.regentpg.com/images/Price...s_2010.png.jpg

Here is where I mentioned that recession was coming in 4/2007 (not my idea, I get economic forecasts)
//www.city-data.com/forum/austi...-projects.html

Here is one of the original discussions from 2009 about austin pricess (austin-steve mentioned 3-5% declines)
//www.city-data.com/forum/austi...ce-year-5.html
The zipcode map shows changes in price per square foot, which won't necessarily correlate exactly with actual values because the average size sold can vary a lot, especially in mixed areas.

The most recent stats I ran the other day show a 44 month look-back of average and median prices in the Austin Metro through Oct 2011. A bit too "macro" for specific neighborhood evaluation, but interesting nonetheless, especially if compared to other metro areas in the US over the same 44 month period.

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Old 11-15-2011, 09:07 AM
 
1,157 posts, read 2,646,856 times
Reputation: 483
I'd say this is pretty close to accurate. We bought in 2005 around $365k and probably can't move it for that price today... thinking around $340k most likely.
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Old 11-15-2011, 09:19 AM
 
Location: Round Rock, Texas
12,920 posts, read 13,254,089 times
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I don't care.

We will be in our 78717 home until carted off to the mortuary or the nursing home.....hopefully not for another 15+ years.
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Old 11-15-2011, 10:13 AM
 
Location: Austin, TX
15,260 posts, read 35,537,960 times
Reputation: 8598
Just out of curiosity, I graphed out the numbers for our house appraisal values. For the last few years (4 now, I guess), we have watched the numbers fairly closely and believe that the appraisal number is a very close approximation of actual value. In any case, we are +2% from the value in 2007, and based on similar sales in the area, that is probably very close (if not a little low) to what we would get. This is in the $250 - $300 range.

Since 2000 (when we bought) we are +40%. 2008 (early in the year) would have been the worst time for us to purchase, we *could* be down 7%, hypothetically.

Heck, I had the chart in PDF, but it won't do PDF and I am too lazy to convert it .
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Old 11-15-2011, 10:48 AM
 
7,997 posts, read 10,378,641 times
Reputation: 15007
So why do my taxes keep going up? Maybe someone should forward this to TCAD.
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Old 11-15-2011, 11:24 AM
 
Location: Austin, TX
15,260 posts, read 35,537,960 times
Reputation: 8598
TCAD had lowered my appraised value the past three years (once via protest), but not sure on what the tax rate itself has done.
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