Watch the race, or at least note the finishing order of this weekend's race at Pocono.. They're totally different tracks that seem to match up, mainly due to distance.
People who do well at Pocono often do well at the Brickyard.
2017 - Monster Energy NASCAR Cup NASCAR Standings - ESPN
That's the current point standings.. You pick anyone outside the top 16.. Probably not going to win.
If I were picking at this point in the year.. Truex or Kyle Larson.