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A lot more people than you think. I have made the drive twice. I know people that do it a few times a year as well.
then an EV isn't for you, much like a Miata won't be right as an only car for a person that tows a horse trailer regularly. Or like an F250 won't be right as an only car for a person that wants to autocross or do a track day every weekend.
Why is it that we don't require any other vehicle to be 100% perfect for 100% of the buying public to be viable, but we require that of an EV (or a Smart)?
until such time as battery technology makes it possible to get a minimum range of about 200 miles, and can be fully recharged with in 20 minutes, and have a top speed of around 110mph. or if solar cell technology improves to the point where fairly small cells can maintain a battery charge for normal day to day driving, you will see electric cars out sell gasoline and diesel powered cars. figure though at least 100 years down the road. remember it is more than just the cars we have to create, it is also the infrastructure to handle recharging those cars.
Will electrics outnumber gas? No. We really aren't any closer to changing wholesale to electrics then we were in 1970 or 1900.
When cars where new, there were three technologies competing to be the fuel source. It was gasoline, electric and steam. Gasoline won because it combined the most practicality, economy, safety and usability of any of the choices.
Electrics still have the problems that they had a HUNDRED years ago. The battery. I don't see that changing anytime soon, people have been trying the whole time to make it work better. I mean, the battery in my iphone leaves a lot to be desired (needs charging far too often).
While cars like the Karma and Volt are interesting, they fail the economy part of the equalization pretty badly. They are far too expensive. Neither are as practical as a gas car either.
The problem with hybrids are the complexity. You have both gas and electric engines, which make repairs far more expensive. They may be fine when new, but wait until they are twenty, are they going to even be repairable at an affordable price?
Until refueling takes no longer then a gas car (five minutes or less), is not more expensive (cheaper would be better), and performance equals (better would be better) a gas car, its going to be really hard to get large amounts of people willing to make a change. You cannot get people to change to something seen as inferior and most see electrics as inferior.
When someone has a superior electric, maybe. Until then electrics won't increase much. Hybrids are not increasing its share, it has actually declined a little in the last year or so.
When the next two Tesla models come out, when you can finally get a pure EV for 30,000 or under that has a 200 mile+ range. They won't come close to taking over for ICE cars for decades, but when this happens they will certainly pick up steam.
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