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View Poll Results: What Car Company Will Go Bankrupt Next?
Ford 5 5.05%
GM 1 1.01%
FCA 27 27.27%
VW Group 1 1.01%
Daimler 3 3.03%
BMW 1 1.01%
Tesla 52 52.53%
Honda 0 0%
Nissan 2 2.02%
Toyota 1 1.01%
Mazda 2 2.02%
Volvo / Geely 6 6.06%
Other 6 6.06%
Multiple Choice Poll. Voters: 99. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 08-28-2018, 03:29 PM
 
2,129 posts, read 1,776,277 times
Reputation: 8758

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Quote:
Originally Posted by ZeApelido View Post
Interesting points. None of which point to clear reasons why Tesla can't be profitable. Saying Tesla can't be profitable because of Elon Musk is so...lame. No depth of analysis.

Side note on batteries - Tesla's old batteries in S&X seem to degrade to 85-90% of initial value and stay flat (so far at least). It is claimed that the new batteries (in Model 3) will perform even better.
So apparently you can't read.

I repeat. I didn't say they CANNOT be profitable. Only that the company is unlikely to last long enough to reach that point.

Claims don't matter. Only results. And results are thin on the ground for this guy.

Criticizing someone for something they did not even say is so lame! LOL!
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Old 08-28-2018, 03:42 PM
 
1,740 posts, read 1,266,952 times
Reputation: 1316
Quote:
Originally Posted by Pyewackette View Post
So apparently you can't read.

I repeat. I didn't say they CANNOT be profitable. Only that the company is unlikely to last long enough to reach that point.

Claims don't matter. Only results. And results are thin on the ground for this guy.

Criticizing someone for something they did not even say is so lame! LOL!

Fair point. So why do you think they will run out of cash before they become profitable?
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Old 08-28-2018, 04:09 PM
 
13,284 posts, read 8,449,930 times
Reputation: 31512
Gm.

And as a believer in underdogs...I have respect for tesla and think they will pull thru. it's so discouraging that the auto industry is thwarting the concepts tesla wants to introduce.
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Old 08-28-2018, 08:27 PM
DKM
 
Location: California
6,767 posts, read 3,855,314 times
Reputation: 6690
FCA is very profitable. 7.5 billion in profits last year. Equity of 25 billion. That's pretty far from bankrupt. People saying they will go broke think its like the old Chrysler, which it sort of is but mostly isn't.
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Old 08-28-2018, 09:34 PM
 
1,142 posts, read 1,142,653 times
Reputation: 3128
Quote:
Originally Posted by ZeApelido View Post
Fair point. So why do you think they will run out of cash before they become profitable?
Isn't Tesla already living on borrowed money?
https://www.forbes.com/sites/jimcoll...ive-cash-flow/
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Old 08-28-2018, 09:59 PM
 
Location: Las Vegas
3,631 posts, read 7,669,562 times
Reputation: 4373
No bankruptcy ofcourse but I don't think Fiat will continue sales in the US market for much longer. I definately can't imagine them still being on the showroom floors in 5 years...even 3 years would surprise me.
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Old 08-29-2018, 03:32 AM
 
Location: Metro Detroit Michigan
6,980 posts, read 5,417,589 times
Reputation: 6436
Quote:
Originally Posted by DKM View Post
FCA is very profitable. 7.5 billion in profits last year. Equity of 25 billion. That's pretty far from bankrupt. People saying they will go broke think its like the old Chrysler, which it sort of is but mostly isn't.
Yep i know everyone thinks they know the automotive industry but have no idea what goes on. I have a good friend who works for FCA and they art doing Great now. He’s working 7 day a week FCA is bringing out a new Jeep pickup and they are retooling the Warren Truck assembly plant to make the 250 and 250 pickups that were made in Mexico and that move created new jobs for UAW workers. FCA is doing very good now and their new Pacifica van is also selling well.
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Old 08-29-2018, 03:38 AM
 
Location: Metro Detroit Michigan
6,980 posts, read 5,417,589 times
Reputation: 6436
Quote:
Originally Posted by SoHoVe View Post
No bankruptcy ofcourse but I don't think Fiat will continue sales in the US market for much longer. I definately can't imagine them still being on the showroom floors in 5 years...even 3 years would surprise me.
He’s FCA plans for the next 5 years. Even though Sergio Marchionne isn’t longer here FCA new ceo will carry on Sergio Marchionne plans.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...-fiat-chrysler
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Old 08-29-2018, 08:24 AM
 
1,092 posts, read 1,148,005 times
Reputation: 2188
I voted Tesla because they are going to have to deal with some serious non-operating losses. Musk tweeted false information about a private buyout to "burn the shorts" which he tweeted about a couple days before. You can be sure that the institutional investors that were short at the time of the tweet are going to sue Tesla (and presumably win). There's also going to be some sort of SEC disciplinary action.

Musk has a second problem at an individual level. He publicly announced his purchase of $10m in shares through twitter. We have since learned that at the time of his purchase, he was in negotiations with the Saudi Sovereign Wealth fund regarding a buyout. That's insider trading at a level that's orders of magnitude worse than what many people have gone to jail for. To make matters worse, he tweeted basically everything needed to get convicted. Its going to be hard for the SEC to look the other way given how publicly this all played out.

Couple these non-operating issues with the fact that they haven't turned a profit and its going to be tough to for Tesla to avoid a reorganization. Bond holders also might prefer for the company to enter a quick chapter 11 and come out with the equity of a visionary company at the end of the ordeal. Its important to remember, bankruptcy doesn't mean the Company or its operations vanish.
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Old 08-29-2018, 08:25 AM
 
24,559 posts, read 18,248,333 times
Reputation: 40260
Quote:
Originally Posted by ZeApelido View Post
Would you agree that other car manufacturers also don't have any unique / valuable IP?

No. I don't agree at all. Car manufacturers have an astounding amount of patents and IP. It's why we're not flooded with Chinese cars.



My point is that Tesla stock is priced as if it's a tech stock. They have been able to raise money to fund a loss-making operation by selling stock at extremely inflated values. I don't see how that can possibly continue in the long term. Tesla has nothing in their IP patent portfolio to keep the huge automobile manufacturers out of their EV market space. It's not like Xerox with a patent on the photocopy machine or Polaroid with a patent on instant photography. It's pretty clear that Tesla isn't the leader in autonomous vehicles with the huge dollars Google is pumping into the technology and all the money the big auto manufacturers are spending on R&D in that space. Tesla isn't disruptive technology.
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