Quote:
Originally Posted by M3 Mitch
The thing I am waiting to hear is the inevitable unintended consequence that will come at us about 6 months to a year after this thing is over - like the way corn ethanol for fuel raised the price of corn tortillias in Mexico by 2 or 3X -
I have no idea what this unintended consequence will be, but I am out ahead of the pack in knowing it will be there, somewhere, and that I don't know what it will be. Like Forrest Gump's box of chocolates
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There are several.
First is that it will eventually take many of the decent running lower end cars off the road. that means that poor people and teenagers will have to buy the cruddy non-operable cars that do nto qualify for CFC and put those on the road instead. their only their option is to have no car (and thus no job in most places).
Another problem is already appearing. The delaers are taking these things in by the handful. It takes them hours and hours to fill out the paperwork. They submit the paperwork and get no response, or the request for government money is denied on a technicality or a problem with the paperwork. One dealer said on he news that they turned in something like 100 requests for CFC reimbursement i the past 30 or 60 days (I cannto rememebr the time frame). They recieved a response to only 2 of the requests. Both were denied. The delaer has to do something with all of these cars. If they have not yet destroyed the engine, they could try to sell them. However, if they do not speed things up and get these deals approved, the program will just stop.
Keep in mind that the manufacturers are providing job loss protection for up to a year as well. Jobs are still being lost at an amazing rate. Thus you would wind up with a scenario where the government pays the CFC funding. The new owner loses their job in two months and then the car company (in two cases the Government again) pays for the new owner to keep the car for up to a year. Then the manufacturer gets the car back and has to try to sell it again.
Heck if i was about to lose my job, I would trade in my old clunker and get a new car and let the delaerhisp/government provide me with a brand new car for a year. If I was really unscrupulous, I would then take off in said car and move to another state to look for a job. By the time the repo man caught up with me, I would have a free new car for two years.
How many people who are about to lose their job are likely to trade in a clunker and get job loss protection? Probably thousands. Who wouldn't? It is perfectly legal, and even moral. They are just taking what is being offered. My brothers wife drives a rusty pos that really should not be on the road. He is likley to get laid off very soon. He should trade in the POS get a new Focus or KIA or something and let them pay for it for a year after he gets laid off. After that on at least some of the programs, he can turn it back in with no issues. During that year, he can try to save up to buy another but less awful clunker.
this could get very very expensive for the government, but then they can always just print up more money. They seem to have no limit. ("Hyperinflation? What is that?).
I am sure that there will be other ramifications. there always are and when you ramrod legislation through without really thinking about it or discussing it you generally end up with all kind of uinintended consequences.
Pretty soon the dealers will stop taking these cars.