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Ryan Vogelsong
14% less line drives, 4% less ground balls, 15% more fly balls, 25% more infield flies. 8% more walks and 4% more K's. Leads to an expected runs allowed of 2% more than the average NL starter
Homer Bailey
5% less line drvies, 2% less ground balls, 6% more fly balls, 20% less infield flies. 18% less walks and 4% less K's. Leads to an expected runs allowed of 1% less than the average NL starter
They go about it differently, but we're seeing two guys who are the definition of league average.
Barry Zito: 7% less line drives, 10% less ground balls, 19% more line drives, 41% more infield flies. 19% more walks and 26% less strike outs. An expected runs allowed of 23% more than the average NL starter
Mike Leake: 19% more line drives, 8% more ground balls, 22% less fly balls, 12 % less infield flies. 30% less walks and 19% less strike outs. An expected runs allowed of 1% less runs than the average NL starter.
Despite being down 1 - 0 should be an advantage for the Reds. Also expect the defenses to be on their toes as neither pitcher K's a lot of guys.
Yes, the Reds finally got a taste of the Giants explosive offense.
The Giants' offense is generally underrated as they play in a stadium that suppresses run scoring. By wRC+ they are 1% below average. That average includes AL teams. They rated 9th in the majors in wRC+ and 4th in the NL, ahead of the Reds (9th)
Likewise, their pitching is overrated. There ERA+ (which adjusts ERA for park) was just above average and ranked 7th in the NL
The Giants' offense is generally underrated as they play in a stadium that suppresses run scoring. By wRC+ they are 1% below average. That average includes AL teams. They rated 9th in the majors in wRC+ and 4th in the NL, ahead of the Reds (9th)
Likewise, their pitching is overrated. There ERA+ (which adjusts ERA for park) was just above average and ranked 7th in the NL
I wasn't referencing the quality of the Giants offense in the regular season, rather the utter absence of it in the post season in those first three games. Both of their runs in yesterday's win may be described as garbage runs. The first run was when a guy hit by a pitch scored on a sac fly, the winning run came on an infield error.
Tim Lincecum, who has morphed from two time Cy Young winner to the rotation guy the club doesn't trust to start a post season game....has overcome that mortification to pitch 4 1/3 terrific innings of relief today. Two hits, no walks, six k's.
Lincecum was so good that they have already bestowed the prestigious Chevy Player of the Game award upon him, even though the game still has three outs to go.
Kuroda: 18% more line drive, 18% more ground balls, 14% less fly balls, average number of infield flies. 25% less walks, 4% more K's. Expected runs of 13% less than the average AL pitcher
Miguel Gonzalez: 9% more line drives, 21% less ground balls, 22% more fly balls, 4% more infield flies. 7% more walks, 7% less K's. Expected runs of 9% more than the average AL pitcher.
Starting pitching advantage to the Yankees
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