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Old 05-07-2012, 06:31 AM
 
Location: Albuquerque, NM
13,285 posts, read 15,298,248 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by NewToCA View Post
Huge difference between AAA and majors, and many a young batting prospect has had their confidence ruined by being in the majors before they were actually ready.

Success for some extended period of time in the minors, at high levels, can do wonders for a player's confidence.

I have little doubt about Trout's or Harper's abilities, however rushing them to the majors increases their potential for failure.
Citation needed.
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Old 06-12-2012, 07:32 AM
 
Location: Albuquerque, NM
13,285 posts, read 15,298,248 times
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Baseball Video Highlights & Clips | LAA@LAD: Trout homers, steals two bases in Halos' win - Video | MLB.com: Multimedia

He's only hitting 76% better than the average major league player while playing (at worst) passable outfield defense. The .412 BABIP won't last, and the power might be a bit high, but he has very solid walk and strike out rates.

Amazing to see two young players called up and performing so well so early in their careers.
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Old 06-21-2012, 02:19 AM
 
Location: Albuquerque, NM
13,285 posts, read 15,298,248 times
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Default The Albert Pujols slash Anaheim Angels 1B thread

So as not to go off topic in another thread...


Quote:
Originally Posted by Grandstander View Post
After 27 games of futility as an Angel, Albert Pujols was benched today in favor of Mark Trumbo playing first. Trumbo was 2 for 4 with a home run and is hitting
.297/.357/.547 overall.
This was posted at the beginning of May.

Through April Albert hit .265/.304 (OBP/SLG) with nary a home run.

In May Albert hit 8 home runs and .309/.491 (still well below his career average of .416/.610)
Thus far in June Albert has hit 3 home runs and .395/.594 (much closer to the Pujols of old)


The Angels have some other interesting players at first base.

The aforementioned Mark Trumbo has continued to blast the ball and has 16 home runs and a .380/.629 line on the season.

There's also Kendry Morales who in 2009 hit 34 home runs and .355/.569 and was off to a decent start in 2010 when he did this. Morales has 7 home runs and a .317/.413 line.

In this thread, I projected Trumbo to hit .330/.500 on the rest of the season. That might end up being low. I also projected Pujols to hit .340/.500 for the rest of the season. He looks likely to beat that as well.
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Old 06-21-2012, 02:37 AM
 
Location: Albuquerque, NM
13,285 posts, read 15,298,248 times
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Harper is getting most of the press but Trout is dominating

Trout has an OBP of .397. That's 25% better than an average hitter.
Trout has a SLG of .523. That's 32% better than an average hitter.
Trout walks 8.9% of the time. That's 9% better than an average hitter.
Trout strikes out 19% of the time. That's 5% better than an average hitter.

Add it all up and Trout's offense is 64% better than the average major league hitter. He also plays excellent defense and runs the bases well. Not too much more than a third of the way into the season, Trout has over 3 fWAR.

Compared to Harper:
Harper gets on base 15% more than the average hitter.
His SLG is 28% better than the average hitter.
He walks 30% more than the average hitter.
He strikes out 4% less than the average hitter.

Harper's defense isn't near what Trout's is so that hurts his overall value. Harper has been worth 1.5 fWAR on the season.

Both young players are owning the league despite their age and lack of time spent in the minor leagues.

In this thread I projected Trout to hit .320/.420 on the rest of the season and Harper to hit .320/.400. Quite possible that both of those projections are low as Trout and Harper dominate beyond any reasonable expectations.
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Old 06-29-2012, 08:35 AM
 
Location: Albuquerque, NM
13,285 posts, read 15,298,248 times
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Defensive play of the year so far?



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Old 07-16-2012, 09:50 AM
 
Location: Front Range of Colorado
1,635 posts, read 2,515,638 times
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Even if Pujols maintains or steps up his pace, he will be hard pressed to match his production of last year. Last year was, of course, the worst production of his career and the first season he batted under .300 and had fewer than 100 RBIs. I know that he missed a few games, but it's hard to not draw the conclusion that his best years are well behind him. If he's struggling, relatively to his own standards, this early in his 10 year contract, I can only imagine how he'll be in the latter years.
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Old 07-23-2012, 08:35 AM
 
Location: Dallas,Texas
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How much of Pujols struggles this year can be attributed to seeing different pitchers this season on a more regular basis than he has the previous years in the National League? Yes I know that trades are made every year and that National League pitchers go to the American League and vice versa. Sports Illustrated reported in an in depth article on Pujols that he has a video recording of every bat that he has made in the majors. I don't know how common that is to have that, but Pujols is definitely a student of batting and always looking to improve himself. He has a little over 2 months to raise his stats but it looks like he will fall pretty short of lifetime averages this year. Maybe his best years are behind him but then again, maybe next year he really ramps it up having faced the Amercan League pitchers for a full season and getting to know what works for him against those pitchers. He has had a very good July though and did some damage over the weekend to the Texas Rangers.
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Old 07-23-2012, 11:06 AM
 
Location: Parts Unknown, Northern California
48,564 posts, read 24,109,095 times
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There may be some significance to the fact that Pujols started terribly last year as well. Perhaps slow starts will be regular features of all post prime Pujol seasons. If he now requires a couple of months before he is capable 1.000 OPS offense, then he will no longer have 1.000 OPS seasons.

I say "may" and "perhaps" because none of us really know. We have information on the impact of aging on the average player, or the typical player, but Pujols is not one of those. He was a 1.000 OPS hitter in his first year at age 21, there isn't a large enough database of those types of players from which we may reliably project futures. And we must also take it on faith that Pujols really was 21 years old as a rookie and is 32 years old now. Albert is from the Dominican Republic where, as we have discovered, lots of folks are not fanatics about honest representations of age.
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Old 07-23-2012, 12:21 PM
 
Location: Albuquerque, NM
13,285 posts, read 15,298,248 times
Reputation: 6658
Quote:
Originally Posted by Texan2008 View Post
How much of Pujols struggles this year can be attributed to seeing different pitchers this season on a more regular basis than he has the previous years in the National League? Yes I know that trades are made every year and that National League pitchers go to the American League and vice versa. Sports Illustrated reported in an in depth article on Pujols that he has a video recording of every bat that he has made in the majors. I don't know how common that is to have that, but Pujols is definitely a student of batting and always looking to improve himself. He has a little over 2 months to raise his stats but it looks like he will fall pretty short of lifetime averages this year. Maybe his best years are behind him but then again, maybe next year he really ramps it up having faced the Amercan League pitchers for a full season and getting to know what works for him against those pitchers. He has had a very good July though and did some damage over the weekend to the Texas Rangers.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Grandstander View Post
There may be some significance to the fact that Pujols started terribly last year as well. Perhaps slow starts will be regular features of all post prime Pujol seasons. If he now requires a couple of months before he is capable 1.000 OPS offense, then he will no longer have 1.000 OPS seasons.

I say "may" and "perhaps" because none of us really know. We have information on the impact of aging on the average player, or the typical player, but Pujols is not one of those. He was a 1.000 OPS hitter in his first year at age 21, there isn't a large enough database of those types of players from which we may reliably project futures. And we must also take it on faith that Pujols really was 21 years old as a rookie and is 32 years old now. Albert is from the Dominican Republic where, as we have discovered, lots of folks are not fanatics about honest representations of age.
Pujols has certainly seemed to right whatever was wrong with him at the beginning of the season.

Since June 1st Pujols has hit: .327 with 10 HR, 24 walks, and 16 strikeouts. That's a .412 OBP and .603 slg which is a .422 Weighted On Base Percentage which is 71% better than the league average hitter.

In other words, he's been Albert Pujols. For his career he has a .426 OBP which is 65% better than an average hitter.

The slow starts are worrisome, as are the age concerns. But, when people look back at this season and see Albert's final numbers, they won't realize that (for June and July at least - it remains to be seen if Albert will continue at this pace), Pujols was as good as ever.
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Old 07-24-2012, 08:27 PM
 
Location: Under a bridge
2,420 posts, read 3,847,676 times
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If Pujols doesn't get injured and get placed on the DL I think its safe to say that he'll finish the regular season with a batting average of .280+, 25 to 30 homeruns and have 90-100 RBI. Not too shabby after having a bad April and early May. Go HALOS!

Tanana and Ryan... and two days of cryin.'

-Cheers.
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