Looking at the state reporting through 2006 (2007 stats are not yet compiled), here are some numbers ("A" crimes are felonies like murder, rape, robbery, etc)
ADA COUNTY
2002: +2.5%
2003: -3.1%
2004: -7.0%
2005: -3.3%
2006: -2.4%
So the decreasing trend is tapering off, I would forecast either little change for 2007, or maybe up slightly.
CANYON COUNTY
2002: +7.2%
2003: -8.1%
2004: -0.9%
2005: -4.9%
2006: -3.9%
Will probably still trend down lower.
BOISE PD:
2002: +1.2%
2003: +1.8%
2004: -5.8%
2005: +0.3%
2006: +0.6%
Will probably trend up, but such a small margin that it could go either way. We looked at anything under 1% as reporting anomalies, but if their reporting is very good/consistent, it's trending up slightly.
CALDWELL PD:
2002: +9.4%
2003: -9.6%
2004: -4.2%
2005: -4.6%
2006: -7.6%
A very solid downward trend.
MERIDIAN PD:
2002: +0.6%
2003: -1.6%
2004: +3.1%
2005: -2.3%
2006: -9.7%
hard to sustain a 7-10% rate for more than a year, so it will probably taper off a bit but still trend down.
NAMPA PD:
2002: +9%
2003: -13.4%
2004: -0.8%
2005: -7.9%
2006: -5.2%
Should still trend down.
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