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Charleston area Charleston - North Charleston - Mt. Pleasant - Summerville - Goose Creek
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Old 01-28-2009, 11:14 AM
 
30 posts, read 60,843 times
Reputation: 15

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Here are the average sale prices my Realtor sent me for particular neighborhoods in Mount Pleasant. The house prices are for homes with an apx. sqft range of 2000-2500.

....................2004 ........2005........ 2006........ 2007........2008.........Diff 2004-2008
Rivertowne.....$297,240...$387,664...$421,212...$4 03,850...$360,500...18%
Bell Hall..........$335,093...$401,343...$408,514...$36 2,700...$378,705...12%
Brickyard....... $281,750...$345,571...$386,279...$375,129...$336,3 86...16%
Park West...... $261,499...$324,219...$335,338...$345,067...$303,8 44...14%
Charl Natio..... $266,640...$330,525...$381,013...$378,625...$342,9 94....22%

As you can see, all of the neighborhoods are at least 12% more than their 2004 price. However, these are prices not adjusted for inflation. When adjusted for inflation, the home prices look like:

....................2004 ........2005........ 2006........ 2007........2008.........Diff 2004-2008
Rivertowne.....$343,257...$421,657...$443,829...$4 13,750...$360,500...7%
Bell Hall..........$376,824...$436,535...$430,549...$37 1,592...$378,705...0%
Brickyard....... $316,838...$375,873...$407,020...$384,325...$336,3 86...6%
Park West...... $294,065...$352,648...$353,344...$353,526...$303,8 44...3%
Charl Natio..... $299,846...$359,507...$401,472...$387,907...$342,9 94....13%

As you can see now, the home prices are much nearer the 2004 price.

Make your own conclusions, but we may be nearer the bottom than most people think.
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Old 01-28-2009, 11:18 AM
 
Location: Mount Pleasant, SC
1,889 posts, read 5,431,520 times
Reputation: 299
That's what we are hearing all over the news. Yesterday on The Today Show an expert said that by the time we know we hit the bottom, it will be too late, prices will already be going back up. I truly believe that.

Last edited by beachme; 01-28-2009 at 11:19 AM.. Reason: typo
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Old 01-28-2009, 11:21 AM
 
30 posts, read 60,843 times
Reputation: 15
People keep saying over and over on this forum about 20%, 30% and even 50% drops from now...2009. That may have been true about 2-3 years ago, but not now. Also, people really should look at adjusted prices, esp if they are referring to prices 4+ years ago.
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Old 01-28-2009, 11:47 AM
 
Location: Charleston, SC
159 posts, read 316,457 times
Reputation: 69
Warning: Be very careful believing some of these posts regarding real estate forecasting on this forum!
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Old 01-28-2009, 11:54 AM
 
30 posts, read 60,843 times
Reputation: 15
Is this a warning to my post, the other posters claiming large drops, or both ?? People should make up their own minds, I agree. However, the complete lack of hard data by all the people claiming that the worst is yet to come regarding home prices is staggering. I like a good debate, and I am not saying that homes are not going to keep falling. I just look at the numbers and facts and try to make sense of them. If anyone says homes are going to continue to drop 20%, what is that based off?
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Old 01-28-2009, 11:58 AM
 
970 posts, read 2,951,516 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The CMR View Post
Warning: Be very careful believing some of these posts regarding real estate forecasting on this forum!
Correct!

On that note, area real estate prices are WAY over-inflated, and should fall even more.
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Old 01-28-2009, 11:59 AM
 
Location: Summerville
7,934 posts, read 17,331,873 times
Reputation: 1361
Quote:
Originally Posted by zpduda View Post
Here are the average sale prices my Realtor sent me for particular neighborhoods in Mount Pleasant. The house prices are for homes with an apx. sqft range of 2000-2500.

....................2004 ........2005........ 2006........ 2007........2008.........Diff 2004-2008
Rivertowne.....$297,240...$387,664...$421,212...$4 03,850...$360,500...18%
Bell Hall..........$335,093...$401,343...$408,514...$36 2,700...$378,705...12%
Brickyard....... $281,750...$345,571...$386,279...$375,129...$336,3 86...16%
Park West...... $261,499...$324,219...$335,338...$345,067...$303,8 44...14%
Charl Natio..... $266,640...$330,525...$381,013...$378,625...$342,9 94....22%

As you can see, all of the neighborhoods are at least 12% more than their 2004 price. However, these are prices not adjusted for inflation. When adjusted for inflation, the home prices look like:

....................2004 ........2005........ 2006........ 2007........2008.........Diff 2004-2008
Rivertowne.....$343,257...$421,657...$443,829...$4 13,750...$360,500...7%(18-7=11)
Bell Hall..........$376,824...$436,535...$430,549...$37 1,592...$378,705...0% (12-0=12)
Brickyard....... $316,838...$375,873...$407,020...$384,325...$336,3 86...6% (16-6=10)
Park West...... $294,065...$352,648...$353,344...$353,526...$303,8 44...3% (14-3=11)
Charl Natio..... $299,846...$359,507...$401,472...$387,907...$342,9 94....13% (22-13=9)

As you can see now, the home prices are much nearer the 2004 price.

Make your own conclusions, but we may be nearer the bottom than most people think.
You numbers don't add up, the inflation for the area should have been the same for all the areas, yet your numbers show any where between 9% and 12%, something doesn't look right?
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Old 01-28-2009, 11:59 AM
 
30 posts, read 60,843 times
Reputation: 15
Quote:
Originally Posted by gaflsc View Post
Correct!

On that note, area real estate prices are WAY over-inflated, and should fall even more.
What is this based off? What is your rational and data to back it up?
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Old 01-28-2009, 12:05 PM
 
30 posts, read 60,843 times
Reputation: 15
Quote:
Originally Posted by OleTomCat View Post
You numbers don't add up, the inflation for the area should have been the same for all the areas, yet your numbers show any where between 9% and 12%, something doesn't look right?
Dude, its called rounding error. I did find one mistake. Rivertown inflation in 2004 is supposed to be 332,909. Opps

I got the inflation rates from the Bureau of Labor

Check them out if you want Inflation Calculator: Bureau of Labor Statistics
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Old 01-28-2009, 12:06 PM
 
Location: Summerville
7,934 posts, read 17,331,873 times
Reputation: 1361
Rounding error of 3%, that is alot of error......

Just asking the question....
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