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You've mentioned a few gentrified and popular neighborhoods, and I mostly agree (Humboldt Park's improvements have been very limited to California and streets bisected by the 606).
The problem is 60+% of Chicago's landmass is comprised of the Southside, and far too many neighborhoods there range from rough to western world war zone. Other than 7 or 8 neighborhoods - South Kenwood/Hyde Park, Bridgeport/Chinatown, Beverley/Mt Greenwood, parts of Bronzeville/Douglas, Pullman(?) - the remainder, perhaps 15 are VERY troubled to catastrophic levels. And the other neighborhoods see the effects, including the safe and gentrified ones.
You've mentioned a few gentrified and popular neighborhoods, and I mostly agree (Humboldt Park's improvements have been very limited to California and streets bisected by the 606).
The problem is 60+% of Chicago's landmass is comprised of the Southside, and far too many neighborhoods there range from rough to western world war zone. Other than 7 or 8 neighborhoods - South Kenwood/Hyde Park, Bridgeport/Chinatown, Beverley/Mt Greenwood, parts of Bronzeville/Douglas, Pullman(?) - the remainder, perhaps 15 are VERY troubled to catastrophic levels. And the other neighborhoods see the effects, including the safe and gentrified ones.
Agree, but that wasn't the point of my post. The point of my post was to point out the gentrification pattern of Chicago and why high crime areas like West Garfield Park or Austin aren't going to gentrify anytime soon. Gentrification in Chicago follows a very distinct migration pattern. Not to say that you need gentrification to lower crime - you don't, but still pointing this out. By the way, even the most troubled areas have reduced crime since even 5 to 7 years ago, but are still much too high. The areas right now for gentrification in Chicago are the ones I pointed out and Bridgeport and Bronzeville in medium fashions and McKinley Park and Brighton Park in smaller fashion. Woodlawn will be next due to the Obama Presidential Library, though it's already started. There are new construction there recently and a large handful of previously vacant homes that have been gut rehabbed. Washington Park close to Hyde Park is also getting some interesting things but this won't be as transformative of what's just starting in Woodlawn.
Also, south side does take up a large land mass, but the north side in 2018 has a higher population. Last year I did analysis in Chicago on homicides and where they occur via census tract - did this for 2016 data. I believe that all homicides of the city were bound to where only 10-15% of the population of the city actually lives.
New York City 20---There was homicide in Brooklyn yesterday making it 5th of year for that borough. The Bronx has seek spike in murders and shootings so far this year. Queens has also seen uptick in murders and shootings but The Bronx has driven largest numbers in increase. 20 homicides was total for entire month of January 1st to 31st 2017 for NYC which is around 2017 levels. The Bronx has 8 homicide so far, following by Queens with 7, Brooklyn with 6, Manhattan and Staten Island with zero. Three out of seven Queens homicides was domestic violence which saw sharp increase.
Los Angeles is at 8 yes 8 ! it show as 10 those were two police involved shootings, there was shooting with 5 victims in South Central but all expect to survive
Chicago 34 through 1/28/2017 which is down from 51 total in January 1st to 31st in 2017 and 50 for 2016.
Philly 16----In 2017 it was 30 at same time period and 18 in 2016.
Baltimore 24---Same time in 2017 it was at 32
New Orleans 18
Birmingham, Alabama 7
St. Louis 16---same time in 2017 it was 14
Houston 14
D.C 10
San Francisco 5
Las Vegas Metro 11
Oakland 8
Nashville Metro 9
Boston 4
San Antonio 8
Denver 10
Albuquerque 8
Phoenix 10
Indianapolis 14
Miami 5
Portland, Oregon 3
Columbus, Ohio 10
Milwaukee 5
Oklahoma City 4
Orlando, 4
Tampa 5
Minneapolis 2
Cincinnati 11
Tucson, Arizona 5
San Diego 6
Charlotte, North Carolina 5
Louisville Metro 7
Austin 4
Jacksonville, Florida 9
Dallas 10
Kansas City, Missouri 10
Cleveland 8
Tulsa, Oklahoma 3
Seattle 2
Memphis 10
Pittsburgh 5
Savannah, Georgia 2
Columbus, Georgia 5
Little Rock, Arkansas 3
Huntsville Alabama 6
New Haven, Connecticut 3
Knoxville, Tennessee 5
Baton Rouge 7
Orange, New Jersey 2
Sacramento, CA 6
Reading, PA 4
Kansas City, Kansas 3
Newark, New Jersey 4
Lafayette, Indiana 1
Saint Paul, Minnesota 1
Lubbock, Texas 5
Wilmington, Delaware 1
Norfolk, Virginia 4
New Bedford, MA 1
West Palm Beach, Florida 2
Lauderhill, Florida 3
Fort Lauderdale, Florida 2
Fort Myers, Florida 2
Tallahassee, Florida 1
St Petersburg Florida 2
Aventura, Flordia 1
Homestead, Florida 1
North Little Rock, AR 1
New Rochelle, NY 1
Columbia, South Carolina 2
Sumter, South Carolina 1
Spartanburg, South Carolina 1
Rock Hill, South Carolina 1
North Charleston, South Carolina 1
North Augusta, South Carolina 1
Greensboro, NC 3
WINSTON-SALEM, N.C 3
Lexington, KY 1
West Memphis, Arkansas 1
Fort Wayne, Indiana 2
Harrisburg, PA 1
Jackson, Mississippi 4
Utica, NY 1
Mobile, AL 4
Albany, New York 1
Rochester, New York 1
Buffalo, New York 1
Albany, Georgia 2
OMAHA, Nebraska 1
Akron, Ohio 3
Shreveport, Louisiana 1
Columbia, MO 1
Salt lake City, Utah 2
Pontiac, Michigan 4
Flint, Michigan 3
Grand Rapids, Michigan 3
Lansing, Michigan 1
Bakersfield, CA 6
Trenton, NJ 3
Myrtle Beach, SC 2
Montgomery, AL 4
Hartford, CT 2
Providence, RI 2
Bridgeport, CT 1
Waterbury, CT 1
Toledo Ohio 6
Dayton, Ohio 2
Chester, PA 2
Hopewell, VA 2
Gary, Indiana 6
Wichita, Kansas 4
Colorado Springs, CO 3
Macon Georgia 1
Duquesne, PA 1
Raleigh, NC 3
Fort Worth, Texas 4
East Chicago Indiana 1
Allentown, PA 1
I know seems unreal...
Since L.A is the place I am looking forward to move in 2019, I am keeping a close look on it and it is surreal... And L.A does not have that summer spike because it is always warm... Damn this is impressive
Using 2016 FBI populations, here are the rates of the larger cities that you reported sorted by homicide rate per 100K descending also including some of your other updates (like LA at 16).
1. St. Louis: 5.09 per 100K
2. New Orleans: 4.53 per 100K
3. Baltimore: 4.04 per 100K
4. Cincinnati: 3.68 per 100K
5. Birmingham: 3.3 per 100K
6. Detroit: 2.24 per 100K
7. Toledo: 2.16 per 100K
8. Kansas City: 2.09 per 100K
9. Cleveland: 2.07 per 100K
10. Lubbock, TX: 1.98 per 100K
11. Oakland: 1.88 per 100K
12. Pittsburgh: 1.65 per 100K
13. Norfolk: 1.63 per 100K
14. Indianapolis: 1.62 per 100K
15. Bakersfield: 1.58 per 100K
16. Memphis: 1.52 per 100K
17. Washington DC: 1.47 per 100K
18. Orlando: 1.44 per 100K
19. Denver: 1.43 per 100K
20T. Albuquerque: 1.42 per 100K
20T. Newark: 1.42 per 100K
22. Nashville: 1.35 per 100K
23. Tampa: 1.33 per 100K
24. Chicago: 1.25 per 100K
25. Sacramento: 1.21 per 100K
26. Columbus, OH: 1.16 per 100K
27. Philadelphia: 1.15 per 100K
28. Miami: 1.11 per 100K
29T. Jacksonville: 1.02 per 100K
29T. Louisville: 1.02 per 100K
29T. Wichita: 1.02 per 100K
32. Tucson: 0.94 per 100K
33. Milwaukee: 0.83 per 100K
34. St. Petersburg, FL: 0.77 per 100K
35T. Dallas: 0.76 per 100K
35T. Fort Wayne: 0.76 per 100K
37. Tulsa: 0.74 per 100K
38. Las Vegas: 0.69 per 100K
39T. Colorado Springs: 0.65 per 100K
39T. Raleigh: 0.65 per 100K
41. Phoenix: 0.63 per 100K
42. Oklahoma City: 0.62 per 100K
43. Houston: 0.60 per 100K
44. Boston: 0.59 per 100K
45. San Francisco: 0.57 per 100K
46. Charlotte: 0.56 per 100K
47. San Antonio: 0.53 per 100K
48. Minneapolis: 0.48 per 100K
49T. Fort Worth: 0.47 per 100K
49T. Portland: 0.47 per 100K
51T. Austin: 0.42 per 100K
51T. San Diego: 0.42 per 100K
53. Los Angeles: 0.40 per 100K
54. Buffalo: 0.39 per 100K
55. St. Paul: 0.33 per 100K
56. Lexington, KY: 0.31 per 100K
57. Seattle: 0.29 per 100K
58. NYC: 0.23 per 100K
59. Omaha: 0.22 per 100K
BTW last year at this time Chicago was 1.87 which would be 12th - now this year so far it's 24th and 1.25 per 100K which is on pace for a little over 15 per 100K for the year. This January has been a little bit more normal - still too high but much more normal going back over a decade than 2016 or 2017 were. A rate of 15 per 100K is more of the average, not what 2016 or 2017 were. Hopefully things get better and it's below 15 by end of December.
Omaha recorded Homicide #2 for 2018. A man shot to death last night..
Peace...
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