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View Poll Results: Top 25 US Cities with Declining Populations Poised to Grow
Detroit 38 40.43%
Jackson, MS 0 0%
Shreveport, LA 1 1.06%
St Louis 21 22.34%
Toledo, OH 0 0%
Rockford, IL 1 1.06%
Montgomery, AL 4 4.26%
Baton Rouge, LA 2 2.13%
Cleveland 16 17.02%
Peoria, IL 4 4.26%
Baltimore 32 34.04%
Mobile, AL 6 6.38%
Hampton, VA 5 5.32%
Waterbury, CT 4 4.26%
Rochester, NY 8 8.51%
Buffalo 17 18.09%
Hartford 7 7.45%
Syracuse, NY 7 7.45%
Springfield, IL 2 2.13%
Pittsburgh 38 40.43%
Topeka, KS 0 0%
Newport News, VA 7 7.45%
Birmingham 21 22.34%
Dayton, OH 10 10.64%
Akron, OH 3 3.19%
Multiple Choice Poll. Voters: 94. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 10-04-2019, 02:15 PM
 
Location: Brooklyn, NY
10,084 posts, read 14,463,858 times
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Of the top 25 US cities, over 100k, that have lost the most city limit population since 2010, which ones are poised to bounce back from 2020 to 2030, and start their population growth again?

Detroit
Jackson, MS
Shreveport, LA
St Louis
Toledo, OH
Rockford, IL
Montgomery, AL
Baton Rouge, LA
Cleveland
Peoria, IL
Baltimore
Mobile, AL
Hampton, VA
Waterbury, CT
Rochester
Buffalo
Hartford, CT
Syracuse, NY
Springfield, IL
Pittsburgh
Topeka, KS
Newport News, VA
Birmingham
Dayton, OH
Akron, OH

Which ones will lead the pack and continue to gentrify, or start to develop/redevelop and gain residents?

Which ones will most likely continue the loss?

Last edited by jjbradleynyc; 10-04-2019 at 02:24 PM..
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Old 10-04-2019, 02:20 PM
 
14,029 posts, read 15,041,009 times
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I would say Birmingham is probably most likely based on the fact the metro is growing at a decent clip.

While Baltimore and St Louis have pretty stable metros their cities seem to be accelerating losses through the decade.

Erie County has stabilized so maybe Buffalo City will follow suit so I’d put them at #2

Hampton roads cities might come back a bit but there is a lot of retirees who would favor VB and the navy while stable is not a growth driving industry but still #3 and #4
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Old 10-04-2019, 02:43 PM
 
Location: Nashville, TN
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None.
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Old 10-04-2019, 02:45 PM
 
Location: Birmingham, AL
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if the recent and proposed multifamily construction in birmingham's city center is any indication, i gotta think (and hope) we're due for some growth. at the very least, the hemorrhaging seems to have stopped here.
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Old 10-04-2019, 06:44 PM
 
Location: Tupelo, Ms
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Jackson's growth will occur over the long term into the 030s. Primary growth is coming from the non white communities. It will be slow overall.
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Old 10-04-2019, 07:27 PM
 
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Although it is no longer over 100,000...I predict Gary Indiana will begin to grow again in the next decade.
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Old 10-04-2019, 08:05 PM
 
Location: Odenton, MD
3,548 posts, read 2,337,266 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by btownboss4 View Post
I would say Birmingham is probably most likely based on the fact the metro is growing at a decent clip.

While Baltimore and St Louis have pretty stable metros their cities seem to be accelerating losses through the decade.

Erie County has stabilized so maybe Buffalo City will follow suit so I’d put them at #2

Hampton roads cities might come back a bit but there is a lot of retirees who would favor VB and the navy while stable is not a growth driving industry but still #3 and #4
Their cores a loosing population do to reduction in housing size rather than resident flight. Neither could support their recent onslaught of residential developments with a significant influx of new residents.

The main difference between the two is St. Louis's metro is stagnant, while Baltimore's is growing a relatively healthy margin (Baltimore jumped St. Louis as the 20th largest metro back in '18)
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Old 10-05-2019, 09:53 AM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Joakim3 View Post
Their cores a loosing population do to reduction in housing size rather than resident flight. Neither could support their recent onslaught of residential developments with a significant influx of new residents.

The main difference between the two is St. Louis's metro is stagnant, while Baltimore's is growing a relatively healthy margin (Baltimore jumped St. Louis as the 20th largest metro back in '18)
People realize when a city loses population due to lower household sized that usually means something a long the lines of the kids move away right? They don’t want to stay in the city while their parents stay. Or when their kids turn 5 they leave the city. It’s not a good thing.

Every city has seen household size drop but most make up for it because in net the people who move out of their parents house stay in the city by living in new construction.

St Louis and Baltimore have both accelerated population loss since 2014 because largely of a spike in violence sending people to the suburbs

Last edited by btownboss4; 10-05-2019 at 10:03 AM..
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Old 10-05-2019, 10:03 AM
 
Location: Lebanon, OH
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Dayton Ohio is having new apartments built on Monument Ave downtown and a few older buildings being restored and the fireblocks district is being revitalized, I really don’t travel much beyond there anymore.
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Old 10-05-2019, 10:27 AM
 
Location: Buffalo, NY
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Pittsburgh, Birmingham, Buffalo, Rochester are most likely, but nothing is a given. These cities have the smallest decrease per Census estimates, and the yearly decreases are trending smaller.

City/Change 2010-2018/Change 2017-2018

Birmingham -1.11% / -0.53%
Pittsburgh -1.52% / -0.22%
Buffalo -1.92% / -0.05%
Rochester -2.03% / -0.10%
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