Quote:
Originally Posted by masssachoicetts
I don't understand how the NSRL hasn't got approved yet. It costs 30 billion to electrify it and add the tunneling but at the same time, the economic benefits would far outweigh the costs. Not to mention the amount of people who would able to live in/around Boston.
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It also opens up the very pricey real estate that the platforms and interlocking the terminal stations have for development and makes the area around pretty much every commuter rail station a very viable TOD area. It's also a linkage that can draw support from neighboring states as it also allows for through-running of regional interstate rail so their representatives would probably help vote in federal funding as well. It's wild that something that would seem like a no-brainer is still just on the docket. However, there's at least a lot of people pushing for it and it is one of those infrastructure projects that for its cost could very quickly and fairly efficiently create a sea change in improving the rail transit system in Boston which is why I think Boston is actually a viable answer for the timeline given of 10 years and 15 years. Of course, the cities I mentioned also have that ability, but they have their own problems with Philadelphia and then Boston having the easiest pathways towards a solve.
For a through-running regional transit system to quickly take off, these cities have the possibility of doing so and with the following impediments:
Boston:
- already owns most of the tracks and almost all of it is within the state of MA and RI has what would probably be a sympathetic government to doing their part
- one of its lines is already electrified due to Amtrak electrification though rest are not electrified
- only one agency to have to sign on and convince
- cost is mostly in the tunnels and electrification
- decent population and economic growth so there is demographic and economic pressure to allow such
- short tunneling needed that's also mostly cleared out as a clean dirt pathway from the Big Dig days
- project in line with greater regional incentive to link states by transit
- the Boston area is definitely a large political driver within the state
Chicago:
- network is mostly in one state and also one agency for almost all lines save for the Indiana service
- partially electrified along one service
- through-running should be relatively easy to connect multiple lines as some lines share terminal stations coming from different directions or the terminal stations are fairly close to each other
- not great demographic growth trends and pretty bad state and city finances
- does not own vast majority of its commuter rail line tracks but instead must negotiate with multiple private freight operators--that and city/state finances are its main issues
- large political driver within the state, but contentious relationship with other parts of the state and there is a significant population within Illinois outside of Chicagoland who do not seem to like their largest city very much
DC/Baltimore:
- more limited in the number of existing commuter rail routes it cana leverage compared to the others
- not just agency differences in jurisdiction, but also multiple state-level differences to coordinate
- limited electrification
Los Angeles:
- no electrification
- single agency and state control of agency as well as most important bits within a single county
- does not own vast majority of its commuter rail line tracks but instead must negotiate with multiple private freight operators--that and city/state finances are its main issues
- is currently looking at through-running at its core terminal (Union Station) though it's a bit messy
- no to limited existing commuter rail goes through densest part of urban area such as most of Central LA and most of the Westside
New York:
- heavily balkanized transit agencies and split among multiple states
- mostly publicly owned track
- electrified, but to different standards
- some existing through-running capability for LIRR/NJT, but that's also good evidence of how balkanized the system is since that's been the case for a long time and still there is no through-running passenger service
- some geographical technical constraints that can be costly
- metropolitan area may be as populous as the state, but a large part of the state is outside the metropolitan area commuter shed and the relationship is contentious
Philadelphia:
- already has through-running capabilities (and actually has it from two different axes)
- already electrified though electrified somewhat idiosyncratically
- mostly publicly-owned tracks
- only very slight balkanization with NJT on the other side of the river which only runs one non-electric service to Philadelphia
- has had these conditions for a while and has recently been posting population gains in even the core city
- no, seriously, this one should be easy, what the ****?
- oh that's right, PA has a lot of people outside the Philadelphia commuter shed in state and the relationship isn't always great
San Francisco:
- all in one state, but heavily balkanized transit agencies and counties with their own fiefdoms
- has an odd incompatible broad gauge system in BART that can't be leveraged with other existing rail infrastructure
- decent population and economic growth so there is demographic and economic pressure to allow such
- geography makes connecting most urban parts really technically expensive
- mishmash of track ownership, but not as highly geared towards private ownership as Chicago is
Any of these cities getting to fare standardization and a through-running frequent commuter rail system where the price of fare goes down (made up for with volume since frequencies can go way up and therefore far more people served) and a much more efficient system with each line getting at least 15 minute frequency which would result in half that time or less to become rapid transit systems wherever a set of tracks is served by more than one line essentially gets heavy rail rapid transit system of very extensive reach and at a relatively low cost for the service provided could vault themselves up in terms of how improved their rail transit system is. The question then is if any of them will reach that point within the next decade or decade and a half. Technically, Philadelphia has by far the easiest pathway towards this, but Boston has more political control and will in some respects to drive state funding into running this kind of thing though will have to pay more for the technical aspects to make this work.