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Originally Posted by kidyankee764
Yeah, agreed. I noticed the same.
Some takeaways: California cities are falling, DC/NY aren’t rising as fast as they previously did, and Miami/South FL entered the arena and continues to skyrocket.
If things continue, which with FL’s insane growth and popularity with the wealthy I fully expect them to, Miami will surpass both SF and LA.
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Surpass them as far as what? The number of people who can afford $3000 in rent? Definitely not, the former 2 have way more people who can afford that rental amount.
If you mean the number of wealthy households, I'm really not so sure about that either.
$200,000 is an extremely low barrier for wealth, and again it's not even close to being close, even for the year 2021 which is source of that IRS data your articles cite:
Households Earning $200,000+,2021:
San Jose-San Francisco-Oakland 833,931
Los Angeles-Long Beach 809,792
Miami-Port St Lucie-Fort Lauderdale 236,217
I think the media uses 1 or 2 years worth of data to make fantastic pronouncements about the future but they seem to be woefully ignorant of just how rich and powerful California is.
see below.
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That may have been try in years prior, but new data coming out shows south FL to have the largest income increase in the country. The next census figures will be much different, for sure.
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Yeah, I wouldnt get caught up in hype over 1 or 2 years worth of data---the economy is cyclical and California has proven itself to be the most resilient state economy in the country.
I mean, your articles suggest massive wealth gains in Florida at the expense of CA and other states that occured in 2021, which is great, congrats, but this is BEA economic data for the 2nd half of 2022:
Top 10 States H2 2022 GDP:
State----H2 2022 Growth--Q4 GDP
CA-----+$143B--+4.01%--$3.701T
FL-----+$66B--+4.81%--$1.437T
TX-----+$65B--+2.76%--$2.419T
NY-----+$64B--+3.14%--$2.098T
GA-----+$33B--+4.14%--$778B
IL-----+$33B---+3.22%--$1.057T
WA-----$30B--+4.18%--$747B
MA-----+$28B--+4.12%--$707B
NC-----+$28B--+3.87%--$751B
NJ-----+$27B--+3.66%--$764B
This is the latest data available^, even more recent than your sources IRS data.
In other words, California's economy grew by $143B in the last 6 months of 2022, actually more than Florida and Texas combined, and even as far as percent growth, CA and FL are both in the 4-5 percent growth range- Who would believe that given what we have been reading in the media lately, right?
I actually hope Miami becomes a tech hub because I think the money from tech needs to spread away from here, but it's irksome that housing costs have to be so damn high where ever tech goes, and locals are not part of developers plans---that happened here in CA, obviously it's happening there now as well.
I hope FL and other states don't repeat our mistakes when it comes to housing, but I think it might be too late.
I wonder where the next it-place will be once FL and TX become too expensive.
Mexico? I heard locals are fed up with all the Americans moving to Mexico City too, so who knows?