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Old 08-03-2009, 03:42 AM
 
6,558 posts, read 12,051,033 times
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Now that the new decade is only a few months away, I was wondering what cities do you think will become dangerous or continue to be dangerous throughout the decade? How do you think the late 2000's recession will impact the cities' crime rates? Here are my guesses:

- Detroit - will continue to be dangerous, the GM and unemployment will not help
- Atlanta - could go either way. An economic recovery with another business boom, continued growth, and good leadership will make it safer. Also, there will be no housing projects within the city limits. However, corruption and neglect in city hall could cause it to go down
- Miami (maybe), due to the economy and overbuilding, but I think it will be ok once the economy recovers
- Chicago - about the same
- Philly - about the same
- New Orleans - about the same as since post-Katrina
- Los Angeles, San Francisco, San Diego, and other California cities - the bankruptcy of the state could have a devastating effect on CA cities
- Rust belt cities - unfortunately, most of them will probably get worse (see Detroit)
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Old 08-03-2009, 08:47 AM
 
Location: Sarasota, Florida
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I think Detroit and Miami will experience skyrocketing crime rates...and don't forget New Orleans...always in the "running"! And let's not forget Atlanta too.
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Old 08-03-2009, 11:27 AM
 
Location: Earth
17,440 posts, read 28,602,920 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SEAandATL View Post
Now that the new decade is only a few months away, I was wondering what cities do you think will become dangerous or continue to be dangerous throughout the decade? How do you think the late 2000's recession will impact the cities' crime rates? Here are my guesses:

- Detroit - will continue to be dangerous, the GM and unemployment will not help
- Atlanta - could go either way. An economic recovery with another business boom, continued growth, and good leadership will make it safer. Also, there will be no housing projects within the city limits. However, corruption and neglect in city hall could cause it to go down
- Miami (maybe), due to the economy and overbuilding, but I think it will be ok once the economy recovers
- Chicago - about the same
- Philly - about the same
- New Orleans - about the same as since post-Katrina
- Los Angeles, San Francisco, San Diego, and other California cities - the bankruptcy of the state could have a devastating effect on CA cities
- Rust belt cities - unfortunately, most of them will probably get worse (see Detroit)
Add on Phoenix and Las Vegas - the Sunbelt is the new Rust Belt

Houston's always had a high crime rate, and rapid population growth within a short period always brings more crime

I think some of the rust belt cities might improve (not all). Milwaukee and Pittsburgh look to be getting better.
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Old 08-03-2009, 11:57 AM
 
Location: roaming gnome
12,384 posts, read 28,515,553 times
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phoenix, miami, atl, orlando, detroit, el paso.

Last edited by grapico; 08-03-2009 at 12:32 PM..
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Old 08-03-2009, 12:14 PM
 
Location: Cleveland, OH
3,844 posts, read 9,285,962 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by majoun View Post
Add on Phoenix and Las Vegas - the Sunbelt is the new Rust Belt
I agree...I'd also keep an eye on South Florida cities and more parts of Calfornia. Just my opinion though.
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Old 08-03-2009, 12:22 PM
 
Location: Earth
17,440 posts, read 28,602,920 times
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Originally Posted by costello_musicman View Post
I agree...I'd also keep an eye on South Florida cities and more parts of Calfornia. Just my opinion though.
I'd agree about that..
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Old 08-03-2009, 12:26 PM
 
Location: Los Altos Hills, CA
36,659 posts, read 67,526,972 times
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Oakland's high crime areas will remain that way. I see no indication that its suddenly going to become crime free until all the criminals have killed each other.

And I wouldnt mind buying some bullets to help them in their cause.
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Old 08-03-2009, 12:29 PM
 
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I live in a rust belt city, Rochester, and the crime rates have been dropping compared to previous years.
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Old 08-03-2009, 02:09 PM
 
Location: 30-40°N 90-100°W
13,809 posts, read 26,558,648 times
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Going by a mix of state economies, crime rate changes, and my own hunches.

Las Vegas, Nevada
Richmond, California
Winston-Salem, North Carolina
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Old 08-03-2009, 02:13 PM
 
Location: Albuquerque, NM - Summerlin, NV
3,435 posts, read 6,988,088 times
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Las Vegas will see a huge increase in Crime..
It is a guarantee.
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