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U.S. forecasters predicted Thursday that this year's Atlantic hurricane season would produce a normal number of about nine to 15 tropical storms, with as many as four to eight of those becoming hurricanes.
Every year we hear the same thing from "US Forecasters" or the National Weather Service. The truth is that nobody knows how many storms will occur this year and their predictions only serve to justify the outrageous premiums charged by insurance companies.
In 2005 there were 28 tropical storms with 15 of those becoming hurricanes. Just remember this folks-It only takes one.
In my opinion-Storms are not universal. Each is unique within itself. Greater wind speed does not necessarily equate to greater damage. Sometimes the effects are compact over a finite time period. Sometimes storm effects cover a broad swath that manifest over hours, days or even weeks. Hurricanes tend to get fickle as the move close to landfall and can turn, circle or pause in a moment or over days.
Each is unique, never should be taken lightly with chances of actually getting "hit" being quite minimal. But feeling the effects of a storm are quite probable if it is projected to come anywhere near our coastline.
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There is also a uniqueness about the NHC reports and actual observed conditions. When a radiosonde is dropped from a hurricane hunter the NHC often tells people what the maximum sustained winds are . These wind speeds are most often found very far above the surface.
There is also a uniqueness about the NHC reports and actual observed conditions. When a radiosonde is dropped from a hurricane hunter the NHC often tells people what the maximum sustained winds are . These wind speeds are most often found very far above the surface.
Excellent point.
It reminds of two stories. Once my Grandmother living in Tennessee called me during a storm. She had heard on TV how Morehead (Specifically Morehead) was being devasted by a storm. I stepped outside and asked, "Do you hear that?" She responded "Hear what?" I said exactly Grandmother I'm standing outside at the moment and nothing is happening.
My Dad who use to live in Raleigh would call and ask, "Alright WRAL is saying this about the storm. What's really happening".
News & weather accountings-Regardless of how they may or may not be attempting to be accurrate must always be taken in context, with a grain of salt and with a sober mind.
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Same Old Thing
